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Maribor - NK Domzale

1. SNL April 11, 2026 17:00 Ljudski vrt, Maribor
#1 · 20 pts
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Maribor
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
NK Domzale
0.33
Expected xG
0.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (53.3%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 13%
Over 2.5 3%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Maribor a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for NK Domzale. Expected goals are 0.3 for Maribor and 0.3 for NK Domzale (total 0.6), with a 13% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 53.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Maribor have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for NK Domzale.

Season Stats

Maribor
7W 6D 2L
NK Domzale
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
0.9
0.9
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
40%
O 2.5
60%
47%
BTTS
60%
47%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. SNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
37%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
Maribor
6W 3D 1L · at home
NK Domzale
1W 1D 7L · away
2.3
gls/g
0.9
0.9
Conceded
2.4
60%
Win %
11%
90%
Win or Draw
22%
90%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
78%
40%
O 3.5
33%
40%
BTTS
67%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Maribor NK Domzale →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 53.3% 16.2% 2.5% 0.2% — —
1 17.4% 5.3% 0.8% 0.1% — —
2 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% — — —
3 0.3% 0.1% — — — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

D Aluminij 2–2
W Radomlje 0–3
D Mura 1–1
W Nafta 2–3
W Bravo 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
L Koper 2–1
W Bravo 1–0
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 3–1
D Mura 3–3

Playing profile

Maribor Maribor
Attack
54
Defence
81
Form
72
NK Domzale NK Domzale
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maribor Maribor 10 20
2 Koper Koper 10 18
3 Bravo Bravo 10 18
4 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 10 14
5 Aluminij Aluminij 10 13
6 Nafta Nafta 10 13
7 Celje Celje 9 12
8 Brinje-Grosuplje Brinje-Grosuplje 10 11
9 Mura Mura 10 9
10 Radomlje Radomlje 9 5
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maribor vs NK Domzale?
The model gives Maribor a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an NK Domzale win.
How many goals are expected in Maribor vs NK Domzale?
Expected goals: Maribor 0.3, NK Domzale 0.3 (total 0.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 13%.
What is the most likely score in Maribor vs NK Domzale?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 53.3%.