Mariehamn 1–1 AC Oulu — pre-match prediction — Veikkausliiga — July 25, 2026

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Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17 July 25, 2026 15:30

Mariehamn

#1 · 11 pts

1 – 1

Final score

AC Oulu

#3 · 9 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction AC Oulu, result Draw

Adam Larsson (ast. Adam Stroud) 14'

78' (ast. Abdoulaye Kone) Elias Kallio

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AC Oulu a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Mariehamn 19%). The final result was Mariehamn 1–1 AC Oulu. In 4 previous meetings, Mariehamn have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for AC Oulu.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Adam Larsson · ast. Adam Stroud

14'

36'

Otto Kemppainen

⚽Adam Larsson (missed pen.)

38'

45'

Abdoulaye Kone / Otto Kemppainen ↕

Aaro Soiniemi

52'

55'

Matias Ojala

64'

Niklas Jokelainen / Matias Ojala ↕

↕ Adam Stroud / Viktor Widlund

74'

75'

Iiro Mendolin

78'

ast. Abdoulaye Kone · Elias Kallio⚽

88'

Juha Pirinen

Pre-match prediction

19.13%

Mariehamn

19.65%

X ←

61.22%

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.65% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Mariehamn

0.75

—

2.00

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Mariehamn	5	11
2	FF Jaro	5	9
3	AC Oulu	5	9
4	Kooteepee	7	7
5	Turku PS	2	6
6	VPS	5	6
7	Haka	5	1

Lineups

Mariehamn 4-3-3

K. Lund G 6.81

A. Soiniemi D 6.32

F. Gyamfi D 6.15

T. Koivisto D 6.37

J. Nissinen D 7.47

J. Svedberg M 7.20

J. van der Heyden M 6.83

E. Patut M 6.51

A. Stroud 1 👟 74' F 7.70

A. Larsson 1 ⚽ F 7.77

Rui Monteiro F 6.67

Bench

A. Huttunen M 0.00

Arvid Bergvik M 0.00

L. Andersson F 0.00

Matias Riikonen G 0.00

M. Hyvönen M 0.00

N. Nurmi D 0.00

Samson Ngulube D 0.00

Wille Nuñez F 0.00

AC Oulu 4-4-2

Miguel Santos G 7.60

Adramane Cassamá D 6.72

J. Pirinen D 6.22

J. Lietsa D 6.41

O. Kemppainen 45' D 6.29

R. Karjalainen F 6.68

E. Kallio 1 ⚽ M 7.41

M. Ojala 64' M 6.04

T. Kaukua M 6.33

L. Ghezali F 6.46

Bench

M. Pitkänen D 0.00

N. Jokelainen 26' M 6.87

S. Sipola D 0.00

Best on the pitch

A. Larsson

F · Mariehamn

7.77

1 ⚽

3 shots · 18 pass

A. Stroud

F · Mariehamn

7.70

1 👟

3 shots · 18 pass

Miguel Santos

G · AC

7.60

· 20 pass

J. Nissinen

D · Mariehamn

7.47

· 29 pass

E. Kallio

M · AC

7.41

1 ⚽

4 shots · 30 pass

J. Svedberg

M · Mariehamn

7.20

4 shots · 34 pass

Mariehamn — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Lund	G	90	6.81	—	—	0	41	13%	0	—	—
A. Soiniemi	D	90	6.32	—	—	0	13	7%	5	1	—
F. Gyamfi	D	90	6.15	—	—	2	44	30%	0	—	—
T. Koivisto	D	90	6.37	—	—	3	30	24%	0	—	—
J. Nissinen	D	90	7.47	—	—	0	29	26%	3	—	—
J. Svedberg	M	90	7.20	—	—	4	34	25%	0	—	—
J. van der Heyden	M	90	6.83	—	—	0	49	45%	2	—	—
E. Patut	M	90	6.51	—	—	1	44	34%	2	—	—
A. Stroud	F	74	7.70	—	1	3	18	11%	1	—	—
A. Larsson	F	90	7.77	1	—	3	18	12%	1	—	—
Rui Monteiro	F	90	6.67	—	—	2	39	34%	0	—	—

AC Oulu — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Miguel Santos	G	90	7.60	—	—	0	20	16%	0	—	—
Adramane Cassamá	D	90	6.72	—	—	0	24	17%	2	—	—
J. Pirinen	D	90	6.22	—	—	1	59	53%	0	1	—
J. Lietsa	D	90	6.41	—	—	0	57	48%	0	—	—
O. Kemppainen	D	45	6.29	—	—	0	24	21%	0	1	—
R. Karjalainen	F	90	6.68	—	—	5	31	22%	2	—	—
E. Kallio	M	90	7.41	1	—	4	30	22%	0	—	—
M. Ojala	M	64	6.04	—	—	0	49	37%	0	1	—
T. Kaukua	M	90	6.33	—	—	1	63	51%	3	—	—
L. Ghezali	F	90	6.46	—	—	0	24	20%	1	—	—
N. Jokelainen	M	26	6.87	—	—	0	25	24%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

The final score was Mariehamn 1–1 AC Oulu.

What did the model predict before Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?

The model assigned 19% probability to a Mariehamn win, 19% to a draw, and 61% to an AC Oulu win.