Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen
(ast. Ludvig Richtner)
84'
69'
Teemu Hytönen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mariehamn a 33% win probability (draw 36%, Ilves 30%). The final result was Mariehamn 1–1 Ilves. In 4 previous meetings, Mariehamn have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Ilves.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
4
1.54
Actual xG
1.95
3
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
3
20
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Samson Ngulube
35'
43'
Sauli Väisänen
45'+3
Goudouss Bamba
Samson Ngulube
/ Aaro Soiniemi
64'
Anttoni Huttunen
/ Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen
64'
66'
Matias Rale
66'
Maksim Stjopin
/
Goudouss Bamba
66'
Yiandro Raap
/
Oskari Multala
67'
Stanislav Baranov
/
Elias Tamminen
69'
Teemu Hytönen⚽
Arvid Bergvik
74'
78'
Tatu Miettunen
/
Matias Rale
Adam Larsson
/ Marlo Hyvonen
81'
⚽Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen
· ast. Ludvig Richtner
84'
87'
Hamidou Coulibaly
/
Teemu Hytönen
Adam Stroud
/ Wille Nuñez
88'
Pre-match prediction
33.49%
Mariehamn
36.06%
X ←
30.46%
Ilves
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.75
1.54
+0.79
0.66
1.95
+1.29
Ilves dominated by xG (1.95 vs 1.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
K. Lund
G
K. Lund
G
31
Samson Ngulube
64'
D
Samson Ngulube
64'
D
5
T. Koivisto
D
T. Koivisto
D
2
N. Nurmi
D
N. Nurmi
D
27
L. Richtnér
1 👟
D
L. Richtnér
1 👟
D
20
E. Patut
M
E. Patut
M
23
V. Widlund
M
V. Widlund
M
18
A. Stroud
88'
M
A. Stroud
88'
M
14
Arvid Bergvik
M
Arvid Bergvik
M
16
A. Huttunen
64'
M
A. Huttunen
64'
M
7
A. Larsson
81'
F
A. Larsson
81'
F
Bench
3
A. Soiniemi
26'
D
A. Soiniemi
26'
D
11
J. Svedberg
M
J. Svedberg
M
43
L. Andersson
F
L. Andersson
F
64
M. Hyvönen
9'
M
M. Hyvönen
9'
M
26
M. Jansson
M
M. Jansson
M
12
O. Heino
G
O. Heino
G
19
T. Jakobsen
1 ⚽
26'
F
T. Jakobsen
1 ⚽
26'
F
9
W. Nuñez
2'
F
W. Nuñez
2'
F
12
F. Krkalić
G
F. Krkalić
G
3
M. Rale
78'
D
M. Rale
78'
D
24
V. Kumpu
D
V. Kumpu
D
5
S. Väisänen
D
S. Väisänen
D
22
O. Multala
66'
D
O. Multala
66'
D
28
J. Kilo
M
J. Kilo
M
14
A. Popovitch
M
A. Popovitch
M
19
Goudouss Bamba
66'
M
Goudouss Bamba
66'
M
13
K. Wallius
M
K. Wallius
M
9
T. Hytönen
1 ⚽
87'
F
T. Hytönen
1 ⚽
87'
F
45
E. Tamminen
67'
F
E. Tamminen
67'
F
Bench
11
H. Coulibaly
3'
F
H. Coulibaly
3'
F
8
M. Stjopin
24'
F
M. Stjopin
24'
F
31
R. Leislahti
G
R. Leislahti
G
17
S. Baranov
23'
F
S. Baranov
23'
F
16
T. Miettunen
12'
D
T. Miettunen
12'
D
6
Y. Raap
24'
M
Y. Raap
24'
M
33
Y. Sacko
M
Y. Sacko
M
Best on the pitch
T. Jakobsen
F · Mariehamn
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
T. Hytönen
F · Ilves
8.17
1 ⚽
8 shots
· 5 pass
L. Richtnér
D · Mariehamn
7.74
1 👟
2 shots
· 50 pass
V. Widlund
M · Mariehamn
7.20
1 shots
· 65 pass
M. Stjopin
F · Ilves
7.18
2 shots
· 7 pass
M. Rale
D · Ilves
7.13
· 50 pass
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lund | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Samson Ngulube | D | 64 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Koivisto | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 90 | 74% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Nurmi | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Richtnér | D | 90 | 7.74 | — | 1 | 2 | 50 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Patut | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 3 | 82 | 69% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Widlund | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Stroud | M | 88 | 6.24 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Arvid Bergvik | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Huttunen | M | 64 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Larsson | F | 81 | 6.32 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Soiniemi | D | 26 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hyvönen | M | 9 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Jakobsen | F | 26 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Nuñez | F | 2 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Ilves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Krkalić | G | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Rale | D | 78 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Kumpu | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Väisänen | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Multala | D | 66 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kilo | M | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Popovitch | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Goudouss Bamba | M | 66 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Wallius | M | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Hytönen | F | 87 | 8.17 | 1 | — | 8 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Tamminen | F | 67 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Coulibaly | F | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Stjopin | F | 24 | 7.18 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Baranov | F | 23 | 7.02 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Miettunen | D | 12 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Raap | M | 24 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mariehamn vs Ilves?
The final score was Mariehamn 1–1 Ilves.
What did the model predict before Mariehamn vs Ilves?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Mariehamn win, 36% to a draw, and 30% to an Ilves win.