Veikkausliiga
· Regular Season - 16
July 20, 2026 18:00
✓Model correct — prediction Lahti
21'
(ast. R. Sans)
Y. Cassubie
55'
(ast. Martim Augusto)
Neemias
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lahti a 78% win probability (draw 8%, Mariehamn 12%). The final result was Mariehamn 0–2 Lahti. In 2 previous meetings, Mariehamn have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lahti.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
14
1
Shots on target
9
7
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
5
14
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Sans ·
Y. Cassubie⚽
K. Ward
/ N. Nurmi
30'
42'
(missed pen.)
R. Sans⚽
N. Nurmi
52'
55'
ast. Martim Augusto ·
Neemias⚽
A. Huttunen
/ A. Bergvik
62'
V. Widlund
/ W. Nunez
62'
J. Nissinen
/ R. Monteiro
62'
69'
A. Belabid
/
Martim Augusto
76'
A. Lindholm
/
O. Koskinen
76'
D. Heikkinen
/
Neemias
T. Koivisto
/ J. Heyden
83'
J. Svedberg
84'
86'
T. Inkinen
/
V. Vehkonen
86'
A. Kabashi
/
E. Andersson
Pre-match prediction
12.56%
Mariehamn
8.65%
X
78.79%
Lahti ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Lahti)
78.79%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
—
—
3.67
—
—
Lineups
1
K. Lund
71'
G
K. Lund
71'
G
3
A. Soiniemi
71'
D
A. Soiniemi
71'
D
5
T. Koivisto
71'
D
T. Koivisto
71'
D
4
Karl Ward
D
28
J. Nissinen
62'
D
J. Nissinen
62'
D
23
V. Widlund
D
V. Widlund
D
20
E. Patut
71'
M
E. Patut
71'
M
16
A. Huttunen
62'
M
A. Huttunen
62'
M
11
J. Svedberg
71'
M
J. Svedberg
71'
M
18
A. Stroud
71'
M
A. Stroud
71'
M
15
T. Jakobsen
71'
M
T. Jakobsen
71'
M
Bench
7
A. Larsson
F
A. Larsson
F
14
Arvid Bergvik
9'
M
Arvid Bergvik
9'
M
8
J. van der Heyden
M
J. van der Heyden
M
43
L. Andersson
F
L. Andersson
F
32
Matias Riikonen
G
2
N. Nurmi
41'
D
N. Nurmi
41'
D
22
Rui Monteiro
M
31
Samson Ngulube
D
Samson Ngulube
D
9
Wille Nuñez
9'
F
31
O. Maukonen
71'
G
O. Maukonen
71'
G
3
R. Sans
1 👟
71'
D
R. Sans
1 👟
71'
D
6
V. Vehkonen
71'
D
V. Vehkonen
71'
D
4
J. Muller
71'
D
J. Muller
71'
D
27
R. Yapi
71'
D
R. Yapi
71'
D
10
O. Koskinen
71'
M
O. Koskinen
71'
M
18
Y. Cassubie
1 ⚽
71'
M
Y. Cassubie
1 ⚽
71'
M
14
E. Andersson
71'
M
E. Andersson
71'
M
11
Martim Ferreira
1 👟
69'
F
Martim Ferreira
1 👟
69'
F
19
Neemias Barbosa
1 ⚽
F
77
M. Sarr
71'
F
M. Sarr
71'
F
Bench
17
A. Belabid
2'
F
A. Belabid
2'
F
12
A. Hakala
G
A. Hakala
G
28
A. Kabashi
M
A. Kabashi
M
9
A. Lindholm
F
A. Lindholm
F
7
D. Heikkinen
M
D. Heikkinen
M
20
Justus Ojanen
M
25
T. Inkinen
D
T. Inkinen
D
Best on the pitch
Y. Cassubie
M · Lahti
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 35 pass
R. Sans
D · Lahti
7.73
1 👟
1 shots
· 34 pass
Martim Ferreira
F · Lahti
7.46
1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
K. Lund
G · Mariehamn
7.16
· 21 pass
J. Muller
D · Lahti
7.15
1 shots
· 50 pass
V. Vehkonen
D · Lahti
7.14
· 60 pass
Mariehamn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lund | G | 71 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Soiniemi | D | 71 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koivisto | D | 71 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Karl Ward | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nissinen | D | 62 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Widlund | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Patut | M | 71 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Huttunen | M | 62 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Svedberg | M | 71 | 5.56 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Stroud | M | 71 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Jakobsen | M | 71 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Arvid Bergvik | M | 9 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Nurmi | D | 41 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Wille Nuñez | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Lahti — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Maukonen | G | 71 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Sans | D | 71 | 7.73 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| V. Vehkonen | D | 71 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Muller | D | 71 | 7.15 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Yapi | D | 71 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Koskinen | M | 71 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Cassubie | M | 71 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 35 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Andersson | M | 71 | 6.53 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Martim Ferreira | F | 69 | 7.46 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Neemias Barbosa | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sarr | F | 71 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Belabid | F | 2 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mariehamn vs Lahti?
The final score was Mariehamn 0–2 Lahti.
What did the model predict before Mariehamn vs Lahti?
The model assigned 12% probability to a Mariehamn win, 8% to a draw, and 78% to an Lahti win.