Maritimo 2–2 Academico Viseu — pre-match prediction — Primeira Liga — August 22, 2026

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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3 August 22, 2026 16:30

Maritimo

#14 · 8 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Academico Viseu

#6 · 17 pts

P. Henrique 70'

A. Butzke 87' (pen.)

25' (ast. A. Correia) Andre Clovis

45'+1 S. Messeguem

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Maritimo a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Academico Viseu 29%). The final result was Maritimo 2–2 Academico Viseu. In 2 previous meetings, Maritimo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Academico Viseu.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.26

Actual xG

1.02

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

25'

ast. A. Correia · Andre Clovis⚽

Raphael Guzzo

44'

45'+1

S. Messeguem⚽

45'

N. Michelis

50'

S. Messeguem

Igor Juliao

54'

↕ Raphael Guzzo / S. Bamba

59'

↕ S. Bouzaidi / M. Boakye

60'

62'

C. Kahraman

64'

D. Steczyk / Andre Clovis ↕

65'

A. Correia

69'

A. Mestanza / C. Kahraman ↕

69'

A. Zamora / L. Gohi ↕

⚽P. Henrique

70'

↕ V. Danilovic / B. Limbombe

75'

79'

Gu Costa / S. Messeguem ↕

79'

L. Silva / Pedro Barcelos ↕

86'

A. Ceitil

86'

A. Zamora

⚽A. Butzke (pen.)

87'

↕ M. Tejon / M. Dominguez

89'

Pre-match prediction

40.05%

Maritimo

30.21%

X ←

29.74%

Academico

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.21% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Maritimo

3.46

0.26

-3.2

Academico

1.09

1.02

-0.07

Academico Viseu dominated by xG (1.02 vs 0.26). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	27
2	Benfica	9	22
3	Sporting CP	9	18
4	Santa Clara	9	18
5	Arouca	9	17
6	Academico Viseu	9	17
7	GIL Vicente	9	14
8	Alverca	9	11
9	SC Braga	9	11
10	Moreirense	9	11
11	Famalicao	9	10
12	Estrela	9	10
13	Vitória SC	9	8
14	Maritimo	9	8
15	Nacional	9	7
16	Casa Pia	9	7
17	Rio Ave	9	7
18	Estoril	9	2

Lineups

Maritimo 4-2-3-1

Alfonso Pastor 48' G 6.70

Paulo Henrique 1 ⚽ 48' D 6.30

Romain Correia 48' D 6.30

Rafael Fernandes 48' D 5.60

Igor Julião 48' D 6.00

V. Danilović 48' M 6.60

Rodrigo Andrade 48' M 6.70

Martín Tejón 48' M 6.60

Raphael Guzzo 48' M 6.20

M. Diouri 48' M 6.20

Adrián Butzke 1 ⚽ 48' F 6.60

Bench

B. Limbombe F

Fran Vieites G

F. Silva M

Gonçalo Tabuaço G

G. Szalai D

I. Alani M

I. Ayuma M

Maurice Osei Boakye F

M. Dominguez M

N. Batista M

S. Bamba F

Tomás Tavares D

Academico Viseu 4-3-3

Ewerton 48' G 6.90

Pedro Barcelos 48' D 7.20

N. Michelis 48' D 7.00

A. Correia 1 👟 48' D 7.20

Robinho 48' D 6.70

S. Messeguem 1 ⚽ 48' M 7.70

André Ceitil 48' M 6.30

C. Kahraman 48' M 6.30

L. Gohi 48' F 6.50

André Clóvis 1 ⚽ 48' F 7.70

João Guilherme 48' F 6.70

Bench

A. Mestanza M

Andro Babić M

Á. Zamora F

C. Ferreira M

Dominik Steczyk F

G. Costa D

Luís Silva M

Marcos Lavín G

Matheus G

Nils Mortimer F

Rúben Pereira D

Tomás Domingos D

Best on the pitch

André Clóvis

F · Academico

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 4 pass

S. Messeguem

M · Academico

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 3 pass

A. Correia

D · Academico

7.20

1 👟

· 30 pass

Pedro Barcelos

D · Academico

7.20

· 18 pass

N. Michelis

D · Academico

7.00

· 34 pass

Ewerton

G · Academico

6.90

· 12 pass

Maritimo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Alfonso Pastor	G	48	6.70	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—
Paulo Henrique	D	48	6.30	1	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Romain Correia	D	48	6.30	—	—	1	33	32%	—	—	—
Rafael Fernandes	D	48	5.60	—	—	—	32	26%	1	—	—
Igor Julião	D	48	6.00	—	—	—	7	6%	1	—	—
V. Danilović	M	48	6.60	—	—	1	28	24%	—	—	—
Rodrigo Andrade	M	48	6.70	—	—	1	11	11%	3	—	—
Martín Tejón	M	48	6.60	—	—	—	10	7%	—	—	—
Raphael Guzzo	M	48	6.20	—	—	1	17	12%	—	1	—
M. Diouri	M	48	6.20	—	—	—	17	15%	—	—	—
Adrián Butzke	F	48	6.60	1	—	—	10	6%	—	—	—

Academico Viseu — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ewerton	G	48	6.90	—	—	—	12	9%	—	—	—
Pedro Barcelos	D	48	7.20	—	—	—	18	14%	2	—	—
N. Michelis	D	48	7.00	—	—	—	34	32%	—	1	—
A. Correia	D	48	7.20	—	1	—	30	26%	—	—	—
Robinho	D	48	6.70	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
S. Messeguem	M	48	7.70	1	—	1	3	1%	—	—	—
André Ceitil	M	48	6.30	—	—	1	19	16%	—	—	—
C. Kahraman	M	48	6.30	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
L. Gohi	F	48	6.50	—	—	—	5	3%	2	—	—
André Clóvis	F	48	7.70	1	—	2	4	2%	—	—	—
João Guilherme	F	48	6.70	—	—	1	8	7%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

The final score was Maritimo 2–2 Academico Viseu.

What did the model predict before Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

The model assigned 40% probability to a Maritimo win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Academico Viseu win.