Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 1
August 08, 2026 16:30
Raphael Guzzo
(ast. M. Tejon)
61'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Maritimo a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Casa Pia 33%). The final result was Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
4
1.25
Actual xG
0.61
4
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'+2
D. Sousa
⚽Raphael Guzzo
· ast. M. Tejon
61'
66'
P. Rosas
/
A. Conte
66'
K. Prieto
/
K. Osundina
78'
A. Jatta
/
Gabi
80'
S. Clua
/
S. Perez
81'
Kaly
/
J. Goulart
S. Bouzaidi
/ S. Bamba
82'
86'
A. Jatta
A. Butzke
/ M. Boakye
87'
M. Tejon
/ T. Tavares
87'
Raphael Guzzo
90'+1
V. Danilovic
/ J. Santiago Perez
90'+1
Raphael Guzzo
/ G. Szalai
90'+1
T. Tavares
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
33.83%
Maritimo ←
32.81%
X
33.35%
Casa
we assigned to the actual result (Maritimo)
33.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.26
1.25
-2.01
0.55
0.61
+0.06
Maritimo dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Alfonso Pastor
G
Alfonso Pastor
G
23
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
44
Romain Correia
D
Romain Correia
D
4
Rafael Fernandes
D
Rafael Fernandes
D
2
Igor Julião
D
Igor Julião
D
18
V. Danilović
M
V. Danilović
M
6
Rodrigo Andrade
M
Rodrigo Andrade
M
14
Raphael Guzzo
1 ⚽
M
Raphael Guzzo
1 ⚽
M
10
Martín Tejón
1 👟
87'
F
Martín Tejón
1 👟
87'
F
17
Adrián Butzke
87'
F
Adrián Butzke
87'
F
11
M. Diouri
82'
F
M. Diouri
82'
F
Bench
1
Gonçalo Tabuaço
G
Gonçalo Tabuaço
G
22
G. Szalai
7'
D
G. Szalai
7'
D
66
I. Ayuma
M
I. Ayuma
M
90
Maurice Osei Boakye
11'
F
Maurice Osei Boakye
11'
F
68
N. Batista
M
N. Batista
M
77
Pedro Teixeira
G
Pedro Teixeira
G
27
S. Bamba
16'
F
S. Bamba
16'
F
15
Tomás Tavares
11'
D
Tomás Tavares
11'
D
25
Yellu Santiago
7'
M
Yellu Santiago
7'
M
31
André Gomes
G
André Gomes
G
5
Abdu Conté
66'
D
Abdu Conté
66'
D
43
David Sousa
D
David Sousa
D
4
João Goulart
81'
D
João Goulart
81'
D
18
Geraldes
D
Geraldes
D
8
Gabi Pereira
78'
M
Gabi Pereira
78'
M
80
L. Ofori
M
L. Ofori
M
24
S. Pérez
80'
M
S. Pérez
80'
M
10
Rochinha
F
Rochinha
F
9
Henrique Araújo
F
Henrique Araújo
F
13
Oluwakorede Osundina
66'
F
Oluwakorede Osundina
66'
F
Bench
59
Abdu Dafe
M
Abdu Dafe
M
20
A. Jatta
20'
F
A. Jatta
20'
F
99
Claudio
F
22
Daniel Azevedo
G
Daniel Azevedo
G
95
Ivan Mandić
G
Ivan Mandić
G
27
Kaique Rocha
D
Kaique Rocha
D
3
Kaly
17'
D
Kaly
17'
D
19
K. Prieto
32'
F
K. Prieto
32'
F
75
Pedro Rosas
32'
D
Pedro Rosas
32'
D
11
Raúl Blanco
M
Raúl Blanco
M
16
Silvi
18'
M
Silvi
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Raphael Guzzo
M · Maritimo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
André Gomes
G · Casa
7.90
· 32 pass
Martín Tejón
F · Maritimo
7.50
1 👟
4 shots
· 19 pass
Alfonso Pastor
G · Maritimo
7.30
· 27 pass
Rafael Fernandes
D · Maritimo
7.30
· 38 pass
V. Danilović
M · Maritimo
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Maritimo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Pastor | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Romain Correia | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Fernandes | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Igor Julião | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Danilović | M | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Andrade | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Raphael Guzzo | M | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Martín Tejón | F | 87 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián Butzke | F | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Diouri | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Szalai | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Maurice Osei Boakye | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bamba | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Tavares | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Yellu Santiago | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Casa Pia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Gomes | G | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Abdu Conté | D | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| David Sousa | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 78 | 72% | — | 1 | — |
| João Goulart | D | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Geraldes | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabi Pereira | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ofori | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Rochinha | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrique Araújo | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Oluwakorede Osundina | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Jatta | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kaly | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| K. Prieto | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Silvi | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Casa Pia?
The final score was Maritimo 1–0 Casa Pia.
What did the model predict before Maritimo vs Casa Pia?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Maritimo win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Casa Pia win.