Maritimo - Chaves

Segunda Liga May 15, 2026 20:00

Maritimo

#1 · 66 pts

20:00

vs

Chaves

#11 · 42 pts

Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 15.7°C 💨 3 km/h · Funchal

⚡ Pre-match analysis

57.3%

Win

Maritimo

21.5%

Draw

21.2%

Win

Chaves

1.92

Expected xG

1.05

Model prediction

Maritimo

57.3%

Probability

55.0%

1X2 accuracy · 20 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Maritimo a 57% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Chaves. Expected goals are 1.9 for Maritimo and 1.1 for Chaves (total 3.0), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Maritimo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chaves.

Score Matrix

↕ Maritimo Chaves →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.1%	5.4%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
1	9.8%	10.3%	5.4%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
2	9.4%	9.9%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
3	6.0%	6.4%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	2.9%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.1%	—
5	1.1%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	—

Recent form

Maritimo

L Penafiel 1–0

W Leixoes 3–2

W Benfica B 1–2

L Torreense 1–0

W Portimonense 1–0

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%

Chaves

L Leixoes 1–2

L Portimonense 3–2

W Oliveirense 2–1

L Pacos Ferreira 4–3

W Torreense 2–0

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%

Playing profile

Maritimo

Attack

28

Defence

80

Form

64

Chaves

Attack

36

Defence

52

Form

40

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1

Maritimo

0

Draw

0

Chaves

W 11 Jan 2026 Segunda Liga 3–2

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Maritimo	33	66
2	Academico Viseu	33	58
3	Torreense	33	56
4	Vizela	33	51
5	União de Leiria	33	49
6	FC Porto B	33	48
7	Leixoes	33	47
8	Feirense	33	45
9	Benfica B	33	44
10	Lusitânia Lourosa	33	43
11	Chaves	33	42
12	Sporting CP B	33	41
13	Penafiel	33	41
14	Felgueiras 1932	33	41
15	Farense	33	40
16	Portimonense	33	37
17	Pacos Ferreira	33	36
18	Oliveirense	33	34