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Maritimo - Estrela

Friendlies Clubs July 29, 2026 20:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.2%
Win
Maritimo
31.98%
Draw
33.83%
Win
Estrela
0.96
Expected xG
1.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.13%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Maritimo a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Estrela. Expected goals are 1.0 for Maritimo and 1.2 for Estrela (total 2.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.13% probability.

Season Stats

Maritimo
2W 0D 2L
Estrela
2W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.4
1.5
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
20%
25%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Maritimo Estrela →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0% 13.9% 8.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.4% 7.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Recent form

W Camacha 2–0
L Leixoes 1–5
W AVS 2–0
L Academica 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
D Portimonense 1–1
W Nacional 2–0
L Casa Pia 1–2
W Naval 1893 2–0
D VfL Wolfsburg 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Maritimo Maritimo
Attack
32
Defence
69
Form
55
Estrela Estrela
Attack
40
Defence
83
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Maritimo vs Estrela?
The model gives Maritimo a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Estrela win.
How many goals are expected in Maritimo vs Estrela?
Expected goals: Maritimo 1.0, Estrela 1.2 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Maritimo vs Estrela?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.13%.