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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 8 October 10, 2026 19:00 Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal
Maritimo
#14 · 8 pts
1 – 2
Final score
FC Porto
#1 · 27 pts
Gábor Szalai (ast. Maxime Dominguez) 16'
42' Victor Froholdt
84' (ast. Jakub Kiwior) Oskar Pietuszewski
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Maritimo 20%). The final result was Maritimo 1–2 FC Porto.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
19
4
Shots on target
9
0.27
Actual xG
2.19
7
Saves
3
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
22
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Gábor Szalai · ast. Maxime Dominguez
16'
36'
Alan Gonzalo Varela
42'
Victor Froholdt⚽
45'
Pablo Rosario / Alan Gonzalo Varela ↕
54'
Gabri Veiga / Hwang In-Beom ↕
55'
Borja Sainz / William Gomes ↕
57'
Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa
↕ Tomas Tavares / Simo Bouzaidi
66'
↕ Maxime Dominguez / Rodri Andrade
66'
66'
Samuel Aghehowa / André Silva ↕
↕ Adrián Butzke / Mons Rogeani Bassouamina
78'
↕ Martín Tejón / Maurice Boakye
79'
79'
Oskar Pietuszewski / Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa ↕
84'
ast. Jakub Kiwior · Oskar Pietuszewski⚽
84'
Igor Julião
87'
↕ Ibrahim Akitunde Alani / Samuel Bamba
89'
Pre-match prediction
20.88%
Maritimo
23.42%
X
55.7%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Porto) 55.7% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Maritimo
0.65
0.27
-0.38
FC
2.40
2.19
-0.21
FC Porto dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.27). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 9 27
2 Benfica Benfica 9 22
3 Sporting CP Sporting CP 9 18
4 Santa Clara Santa Clara 9 18
5 Arouca Arouca 9 17
6 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 9 17
7 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 9 14
8 Alverca Alverca 9 11
9 SC Braga SC Braga 9 11
10 Moreirense Moreirense 9 11
11 Famalicao Famalicao 9 10
12 Estrela Estrela 9 10
13 Vitória SC Vitória SC 9 8
14 Maritimo Maritimo 9 8
15 Nacional Nacional 9 7
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 7
17 Rio Ave Rio Ave 9 7
18 Estoril Estoril 9 2
Lineups
Maritimo Maritimo 4-2-3-1
30 Fran Vieites Fran Vieites G 7.15
23 Paulo Henrique Paulo Henrique D 5.70
22 G. Szalai G. Szalai 1 ⚽ D 7.25
44 Romain Correia Romain Correia D 6.43
2 Igor Julião Igor Julião D 5.07
14 Raphael Guzzo Raphael Guzzo M 6.06
21 I. Alani I. Alani 89' M 6.28
10 Martín Tejón Martín Tejón 79' M 6.05
8 M. Dominguez M. Dominguez 1 👟 66' M 6.38
15 Tomás Tavares Tomás Tavares 66' M 5.62
17 Adrián Butzke Adrián Butzke 78' F 6.32
Bench
13 Alfonso Pastor Alfonso Pastor G 0.00
35 B. Limbombe B. Limbombe F 0.00
1 Gonçalo Tabuaço Gonçalo Tabuaço G 0.00
66 I. Ayuma I. Ayuma M 0.00
90 Maurice Osei Boakye Maurice Osei Boakye 11' F 6.50
12 M. Bassouamina M. Bassouamina 12' F 6.63
11 M. Diouri M. Diouri 24' F 6.46
3 N. Ogbeta N. Ogbeta D 0.00
4 Rafael Fernandes Rafael Fernandes D 0.00
6 Rodrigo Andrade Rodrigo Andrade 24' M 6.03
27 S. Bamba S. Bamba 1' F 5.90
18 V. Danilović V. Danilović M 0.00
FC Porto FC Porto 4-3-3
99 Diogo Costa Diogo Costa G 6.95
74 Francisco Moura Francisco Moura D 6.79
4 J. Kiwior J. Kiwior 1 👟 D 7.26
5 J. Bednarek J. Bednarek D 7.54
20 Alberto Baio Alberto Baio D 6.12
16 Hwang In-Beom Hwang In-Beom 54' M 6.73
22 A. Varela A. Varela 45' M 6.44
8 Victor Mow Froholdt Victor Mow Froholdt 1 ⚽ M 7.10
11 Pepê Aquino Pepê Aquino 79' F 6.44
19 André Silva André Silva 66' F 6.46
7 William William 55' F 6.74
Bench
17 Borja Sainz Borja Sainz 35' F 7.20
14 Cláudio Ramos Cláudio Ramos G 0.00
6 C. Smalling C. Smalling D 0.00
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec F 0.00
10 Gabri Veiga Gabri Veiga 36' M 6.56
52 Martim Fernandes Martim Fernandes D 0.00
77 O. Pietuszewski O. Pietuszewski 1 ⚽ 11' F 7.72
13 P. Rosario P. Rosario 45' M 5.99
9 Samu Samu 24' F 6.34
42 S. Fofana S. Fofana M 0.00
29 S. Giménez S. Giménez F 0.00
33 Souza Souza D 0.00
Best on the pitch
O. Pietuszewski
O. Pietuszewski
F · FC
7.72
1 ⚽
3 shots · 2 pass
J. Bednarek
J. Bednarek
D · FC
7.54
· 73 pass
J. Kiwior
J. Kiwior
D · FC
7.26
1 👟
· 80 pass
G. Szalai
G. Szalai
D · Maritimo
7.25
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
Borja Sainz
Borja Sainz
F · FC
7.20
· 7 pass
Fran Vieites
Fran Vieites
G · Maritimo
7.15
· 42 pass
Maritimo Maritimo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fran Vieites G 90 7.15 — — 0 42 18% 0 — —
Paulo Henrique D 90 5.70 — — 1 23 14% 1 — —
G. Szalai D 90 7.25 1 — 2 21 16% 2 — —
Romain Correia D 90 6.43 — — 1 47 38% 2 — —
Igor Julião D 90 5.07 — — 1 26 18% 1 1 —
Raphael Guzzo M 90 6.06 — — 0 29 23% 1 — —
I. Alani M 89 6.28 — — 0 28 22% 5 — —
Martín Tejón M 79 6.05 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
M. Dominguez M 66 6.38 — 1 0 19 16% 0 — —
Tomás Tavares M 66 5.62 — — 0 26 18% 5 — —
Adrián Butzke F 78 6.32 — — 0 16 13% 3 — —
Maurice Osei Boakye F 11 6.50 — — 1 3 3% 0 — —
M. Bassouamina F 12 6.63 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
M. Diouri F 24 6.46 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
Rodrigo Andrade M 24 6.03 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
S. Bamba F 1 5.90 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
FC Porto FC Porto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diogo Costa G 90 6.95 — — 0 21 15% 0 — —
Francisco Moura D 90 6.79 — — 2 38 32% 3 — —
J. Kiwior D 90 7.26 — 1 0 80 72% 2 — —
J. Bednarek D 90 7.54 — — 0 73 68% 1 — —
Alberto Baio D 90 6.12 — — 2 36 25% 0 — —
Hwang In-Beom M 54 6.73 — — 0 20 18% 1 — —
A. Varela M 45 6.44 — — 0 22 19% 0 1 —
Victor Mow Froholdt M 90 7.10 1 — 3 27 18% 1 — —
Pepê Aquino F 79 6.44 — — 2 42 33% 3 1 —
André Silva F 66 6.46 — — 2 12 7% 0 — —
William F 55 6.74 — — 2 9 7% 0 — —
Borja Sainz F 35 7.20 — — 0 7 4% 2 — —
Gabri Veiga M 36 6.56 — — 3 13 9% 1 — —
O. Pietuszewski F 11 7.72 1 — 3 2 2% 0 — —
P. Rosario M 45 5.99 — — 0 12 12% 0 — —
Samu F 24 6.34 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Maritimo vs FC Porto?
The final score was Maritimo 1–2 FC Porto.
What did the model predict before Maritimo vs FC Porto?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Maritimo win, 23% to a draw, and 55% to an FC Porto win.