✗Model wrong — prediction Marsaxlokk, result Birzebbuga wins
Alex Bruno
48'
G. Costa Goncalves
70'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marsaxlokk a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Birzebbuga 18%). The final result was Birzebbuga 2–0 Marsaxlokk.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽Alex Bruno
48'
62'
S. Smajlagic
/
Dodo
G. Costa Goncalves
64'
65'
N. Muscat
69'
L. Caruana
/
N. Muscat
69'
D. Simkus
/
J. Minala
⚽G. Costa Goncalves
70'
M. Azzopardi
/ Z. Cassar
71'
G. Costa Goncalves
/ S. Tokic
79'
80'
T. Caruana
/
M. Garcia
K. Bondin
/ M. Xuereb
86'
90'+2
T. Caruana
Pre-match prediction
18.49%
Birzebbuga ←
18.58%
X
62.93%
Marsaxlokk
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Birzebbuga)
18.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.50
—
—
4.32
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
The final score was Birzebbuga 2–0 Marsaxlokk.
What did the model predict before Birzebbuga vs Marsaxlokk?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Birzebbuga win, 18% to a draw, and 62% to an Marsaxlokk win.