Marsaxlokk - Hamrun Spartans
Premier League
November 08, 2026 19:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.85%
Win
Marsaxlokk
25.94%
Draw
45.22%
Win
Hamrun Spartans
1.6
1.98
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.2%)
1X2 Result
1
29%
X
26%
2
45%
Double Chance
1X
55%
X2
71%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Hamrun Spartans a 45% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Marsaxlokk. Expected goals are 1.6 for Marsaxlokk and 2.0 for Hamrun Spartans (total 3.6), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.2% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Marsaxlokk have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Hamrun Spartans.
Season Stats
9W
2D
4L
6W
5D
4L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
60%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
73%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
8W
1D
1L
· at home
5W
2D
3L
· away
1.8
gls/g
1.7
1.1
Conceded
1.1
80%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
70%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Marsaxlokk
Attack
47
Defence
64
Form
60
Hamrun Spartans
Attack
48
Defence
71
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valletta FC
|
11 | 25 |
| 1 |
Valletta FC
|
11 | 25 |
| 2 |
Marsaxlokk
|
11 | 20 |
| 2 |
Marsaxlokk
|
11 | 20 |
| 3 |
Sliema Wanderers
|
11 | 18 |
| 3 |
Sliema Wanderers
|
11 | 18 |
| 4 |
Hamrun Spartans
|
11 | 17 |
| 4 |
Hamrun Spartans
|
11 | 17 |
| 5 |
Floriana
|
11 | 16 |
| 5 |
Floriana
|
11 | 16 |
| 6 |
Hibernians
|
11 | 16 |
| 6 |
Hibernians
|
11 | 16 |
| 7 |
Birkirkara
|
11 | 15 |
| 7 |
Birkirkara
|
11 | 15 |
| 8 |
Mosta
|
12 | 15 |
| 8 |
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
11 | 14 |
| 9 |
Mosta
|
11 | 14 |
| 9 |
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
11 | 14 |
| 10 |
Balzan FC
|
11 | 11 |
| 10 |
Balzan FC
|
11 | 11 |
| 11 |
Birzebbuga
|
11 | 6 |
| 11 |
Birzebbuga
|
12 | 7 |
| 12 |
Gzira United
|
11 | 5 |
| 12 |
Gzira United
|
11 | 5 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans?
The model gives Marsaxlokk a 28% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 45% for an Hamrun Spartans win.
How many goals are expected in Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans?
Expected goals: Marsaxlokk 1.6, Hamrun Spartans 2.0 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.2%.