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Marseille - Anderlecht

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Marseille
#22 · 0 pts
vs
Anderlecht
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.23%
Win
Marseille
29.19%
Draw
36.58%
Win
Anderlecht
1.41
Expected xG
1.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.06%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 29%
2 37%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 63%
X2 66%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 59%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Anderlecht a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Marseille. Expected goals are 1.4 for Marseille and 1.6 for Anderlecht (total 3.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.06% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Marseille Anderlecht →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Marseille Marseille
No data available
Anderlecht Anderlecht
W Kairat Almaty 3–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–3
W PAOK 3–2
W PAOK 0–1
W Hammarby FF 3–1

Playing profile

Marseille Marseille
Attack
40
Defence
55
Form
32
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
43
Defence
75
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Anderlecht?
The model gives Marseille a 34% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Anderlecht win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Anderlecht?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.4, Anderlecht 1.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Anderlecht?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.06%.