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Marseille - Anderlecht

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Marseille
#34 · 0 pts
vs
Anderlecht
#22 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.23%
Win
Marseille
29.19%
Draw
36.58%
Win
Anderlecht
1.41
Expected xG
1.61

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.06%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 34%
X 29%
2 37%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 63%
X2 66%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 59%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Anderlecht a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Marseille. Expected goals are 1.4 for Marseille and 1.6 for Anderlecht (total 3.0), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.06% probability.

Season Stats

Marseille
0W 0D 3L
Anderlecht
7W 1D 3L
Averages per game
0.3
Goals
1.8
2.0
Conceded
0.8
3.0
Shots OT
5.6
5.3
Corners
5.4
58%
Poss.
56%
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
73%
33%
O 2.5
64%
33%
BTTS
45%
0%
Clean Sht
45%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Marseille
0W 0D 1L · at home
Anderlecht
3W 1D 2L · away
0.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
0.7
0%
Win %
50%
0%
Win or Draw
67%
0%
O 1.5
67%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
100%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Marseille Anderlecht →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

Marseille Marseille
L Sturm Graz 1–0
L Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1
L Beşiktaş 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Anderlecht Anderlecht
W Jagiellonia 0–3
L Dinamo Zagreb 1–0
L Lyon 1–2
W Kairat Almaty 3–0
W Kairat Almaty 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Marseille Marseille
Attack
39
Defence
47
Form
31
Anderlecht Anderlecht
Attack
46
Defence
64
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Anderlecht?
The model gives Marseille a 34% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Anderlecht win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Anderlecht?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.4, Anderlecht 1.6 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Anderlecht?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.06%.