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Marseille - Athletic Club

Friendlies Clubs August 09, 2026 17:30
Marseille
vs
Athletic Club
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.4%
Win
Marseille
30.21%
Draw
39.39%
Win
Athletic Club
0.67
Expected xG
3.1

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.76%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 30%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 70%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Athletic Club a 39% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Marseille. Expected goals are 0.7 for Marseille and 3.1 for Athletic Club (total 3.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.76% probability.

Season Stats

Marseille
1W 0D 1L
Athletic Club
5W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
4.0
2.0
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
83%
50%
BTTS
17%
0%
Clean Sht
83%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Marseille
1W 0D 1L · at home
Athletic Club
5W 0D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
4.4
2.0
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
80%
0%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
100%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Marseille Athletic Club →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 7.1% 11.0% 11.4% 8.8% 5.5%
1 1.5% 4.8% 7.4% 7.7% 6.0% 3.7%
2 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Marseille Marseille
W Nimes 2–1
L Nice 0–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
Athletic Club Athletic Club
W Burgos 0–3
W Racing Santander 0–3
D Eibar 2–2
W Sestao River 0–2
W Leioa 0–11
Away clean sheet (120 days) 44%

Playing profile

Marseille Marseille
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
48
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Attack
71
Defence
92
Form
85
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Athletic Club?
The model gives Marseille a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 39% for an Athletic Club win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Athletic Club?
Expected goals: Marseille 0.7, Athletic Club 3.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Athletic Club?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.76%.