Marseille - Atletico Madrid
Friendlies Clubs
August 14, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.23%
Win
Marseille
31.1%
Draw
37.66%
Win
Atletico Madrid
0.99
2.43
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(8.98%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
31%
2
38%
Double Chance
1X
62%
X2
69%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Madrid a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Marseille. Expected goals are 1.0 for Marseille and 2.4 for Atletico Madrid (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.98% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.5
2.0
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
1W
0D
1L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Marseille
Atletico Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Marseille
Attack
25
Defence
50
Form
48
Atletico Madrid
Attack
62
Defence
62
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Atletico Madrid?
The model gives Marseille a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an Atletico Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Atletico Madrid?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.0, Atletico Madrid 2.4 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Atletico Madrid?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.98%.