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Marseille - Celta Vigo

Europa League December 10, 2026 18:45
Marseille
#32 · 0 pts
vs
Celta Vigo
#25 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.51%
Win
Marseille
29.29%
Draw
28.2%
Win
Celta Vigo
1.66
Expected xG
0.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.73%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 29%
2 28%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 72%
X2 58%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Marseille a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Celta Vigo. Expected goals are 1.7 for Marseille and 0.9 for Celta Vigo (total 2.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.73% probability.

Season Stats

Marseille
0W 0D 1L
Celta Vigo
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.5
4.0
Conceded
1.3
3.0
Shots OT
4.3
3.0
Corners
3.8
46%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
87%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Marseille Celta Vigo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9% 6.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 13.1% 11.5% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 6.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 2.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Marseille Marseille
L Beşiktaş 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
L Omonia Nicosia 1–0
L SC Freiburg 1–3
L SC Freiburg 3–0
W Lyon 0–2
D Lyon 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Marseille Marseille
Attack
41
Defence
46
Form
23
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Attack
32
Defence
67
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Celta Vigo?
The model gives Marseille a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Celta Vigo win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Celta Vigo?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.7, Celta Vigo 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Celta Vigo?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.73%.