CJ Egan-Riley
(ast. Emerson Palmieri)
5'
Timothy Weah
33'
Igor Paixão
(ast. Amine Gouiri)
50'
Himad Abdelli
55'
(pen.)
77'
Josh Maja
86'
Lamine N'Diaye
89'
(ast. Kaito Mizuta)
Josh Maja
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Le Havre 26%). The final result was Marseille 4–3 Le Havre. In 2 previous meetings, Marseille have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Le Havre.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
19
5
Shots on target
7
1.63
Actual xG
3.10
3
Saves
1
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
3
20
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽CJ Egan-Riley
· ast. Emerson Palmieri
5'
⚽Timothy Weah
33'
⚽Igor Paixão
· ast. Amine Gouiri
50'
⚽Himad Abdelli
55'
61'
Josh Maja
/
Rassoul Ndiaye
61'
Sota Nakamura
/
Mbwana Ally Samatta
77'
Daren Mosengo
/
Amir Richardson
77'
Lamine N'Diaye
/
Enzo Koffi
77'
(pen.)
Josh Maja⚽
Amine Harit
/ Keyliane Abdallah
78'
Amine Gouiri
/ Neal Maupay
78'
83'
Simon Ebonog
Himad Abdelli
/ Nouhoum Kamissoko
84'
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
/ Angel Gomes
84'
84'
Kaito Mizuta
/
Rayan Fofana
86'
Lamine N'Diaye⚽
89'
ast. Kaito Mizuta ·
Josh Maja⚽
Igor Paixão
/ Ulisses Garcia
90'+2
90'+6
90'+10
Ayumu Seko
90'+11
Lamine N'Diaye
Neal Maupay
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
48.54%
Marseille ←
25.13%
X
26.33%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Marseille)
48.54%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.74
1.63
-1.11
1.78
3.10
+1.32
Le Havre dominated by xG (3.10 vs 1.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
8
H. Abdelli
1 ⚽
84'
M
H. Abdelli
1 ⚽
84'
M
1
J. de Lange
G
J. de Lange
G
14
Igor Paixão
1 ⚽
89'
F
Igor Paixão
1 ⚽
89'
F
6
T. Nnadi
M
T. Nnadi
M
23
P. Højbjerg
84'
M
P. Højbjerg
84'
M
77
A. Harit
78'
M
A. Harit
78'
M
9
A. Gouiri
1 👟
78'
F
A. Gouiri
1 👟
78'
F
33
Emerson
1 👟
D
Emerson
1 👟
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
1 ⚽
D
C. Egan-Riley
1 ⚽
D
21
N. Aguerd
D
N. Aguerd
D
22
T. Weah
1 ⚽
M
T. Weah
1 ⚽
M
Bench
7
A. Gomes
6'
M
A. Gomes
6'
M
18
B. Meité
D
B. Meité
D
19
G. Kondogbia
M
G. Kondogbia
M
48
K. Abdallah
12'
F
K. Abdallah
12'
F
74
K. Bezahaf
D
K. Bezahaf
D
11
N. Maupay
12'
F
N. Maupay
12'
F
92
T. Vermot
G
T. Vermot
G
25
U. Garcia
1'
D
U. Garcia
1'
D
93
G. Gallon
G
G. Gallon
G
26
S. Ebonog
M
S. Ebonog
M
38
R. Fofana
84'
F
R. Fofana
84'
F
6
J. Mwanga
M
J. Mwanga
M
14
R. Ndiaye
61'
M
R. Ndiaye
61'
M
20
D. Ouziad
F
D. Ouziad
F
7
A. Richardson
77'
M
A. Richardson
77'
M
25
M. Samatta
61'
F
M. Samatta
61'
F
15
A. Seko
D
A. Seko
D
27
E. Koffi Vinette
77'
F
E. Koffi Vinette
77'
F
5
A. Touba
D
A. Touba
D
Bench
16
A. Bodart
G
A. Bodart
G
78
D. Mosengo
13'
M
D. Mosengo
13'
M
24
G. Zohouri
M
G. Zohouri
M
9
J. Maja
2 ⚽
29'
F
J. Maja
2 ⚽
29'
F
17
K. Mizuta
1 👟
6'
F
K. Mizuta
1 👟
6'
F
30
S. Nakamura
29'
F
S. Nakamura
29'
F
23
V. Sasso
D
V. Sasso
D
Best on the pitch
J. Maja
F · Le
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
Igor Paixão
F · Marseille
8.15
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
H. Abdelli
M · Marseille
8.08
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
T. Weah
M · Marseille
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
C. Egan-Riley
D · Marseille
7.19
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
N. Aguerd
D · Marseille
7.07
1 shots
· 51 pass
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Abdelli | M | 84 | 8.08 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| J. de Lange | G | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Paixão | F | 89 | 8.15 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Nnadi | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 84 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 60% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Harit | M | 78 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 78 | 6.98 | — | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Egan-Riley | D | 90 | 7.19 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Aguerd | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Weah | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 44% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 6 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Abdallah | F | 12 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Maupay | F | 12 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| U. Garcia | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Le Havre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gallon | G | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Fofana | F | 84 | 6.55 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mwanga | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Ndiaye | M | 61 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ouziad | F | 90 | 5.28 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Richardson | M | 77 | 5.71 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Samatta | F | 61 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Seko | D | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Koffi Vinette | F | 77 | 5.72 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Touba | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Mosengo | M | 13 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Maja | F | 29 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Mizuta | F | 6 | 6.28 | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Nakamura | F | 29 | 6.81 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Le Havre?
The final score was Marseille 4–3 Le Havre.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Le Havre?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Marseille win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Le Havre win.