Marseille - Levski Sofia
Europa League
November 26, 2026 18:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.08%
Win
Marseille
30.17%
Draw
34.75%
Win
Levski Sofia
1.28
1.27
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.93%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
30%
2
35%
Double Chance
✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
65%
X2
65%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Marseille a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Levski Sofia. Expected goals are 1.3 for Marseille and 1.3 for Levski Sofia (total 2.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.93% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
0W
3D
2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
4.0
Conceded
0.4
3.0
Shots OT
0.0
3.0
Corners
5.0
46%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Marseille
Levski Sofia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Marseille
Attack
41
Defence
46
Form
23
Levski Sofia
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives Marseille a 35% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 34% for an Levski Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.3, Levski Sofia 1.3 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.93%.