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Marseille - Levski Sofia

Europa League November 26, 2026 18:45
#32 · 0 pts
vs
#27 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.08%
Win
Marseille
30.17%
Draw
34.75%
Win
Levski Sofia
1.28
Expected xG
1.27

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.93%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 30%
2 35%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 65%
X2 65%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Marseille a 35% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Levski Sofia. Expected goals are 1.3 for Marseille and 1.3 for Levski Sofia (total 2.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.93% probability.

Season Stats

Marseille
0W 0D 1L
Levski Sofia
0W 3D 2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.0
4.0
Conceded
0.4
3.0
Shots OT
0.0
3.0
Corners
5.0
46%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Marseille Levski Sofia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 9.9% 6.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.7% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L Beşiktaş 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
L Red Bull Salzburg 0–1
L SC Braga 1–0
D SC Braga 0–0
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Marseille Marseille
Attack
41
Defence
46
Form
23
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Attack
35
Defence
74
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives Marseille a 35% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 34% for an Levski Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.3, Levski Sofia 1.3 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Levski Sofia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.93%.