Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 17:15 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille

#11 · 0 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Lille

#8 · 0 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Lille 28%). The final result was Marseille 1–2 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Marseille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

4

0.60

Actual xG

0.97

55%

Possession

45%

6

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

46.54%

Marseille

24.79%

X

28.67%

Lille ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 28.67% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Marseille

1.60

0.60

-1.0

Lille

1.18

0.97

-0.22

Lille dominated by xG (0.97 vs 0.60). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Auxerre	0	0
2	Angers	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0
4	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
5	Lorient	0	0
6	Le Havre	0	0
7	Le Mans	0	0
8	Lille	0	0
9	Nice	0	0
10	Lyon	0	0
11	Marseille	0	0
12	Paris FC	0	0
13	Paris Saint Germain	0	0
14	Lens	0	0
15	Rennes	0	0
16	Strasbourg	0	0
17	Toulouse	0	0
18	Estac Troyes	0	0