Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 17:15 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

Marseille

#8 · 12 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Lille

#3 · 15 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Lille 28%). The final result was Marseille 1–2 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Marseille have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lille.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

4

0.60

Actual xG

0.97

55%

Possession

45%

6

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

46.54%

Marseille

24.79%

X

28.67%

Lille ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lille) 28.67% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Marseille

1.60

0.60

-1.0

Lille

1.18

0.97

-0.22

Lille dominated by xG (0.97 vs 0.60). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	8	17
2	Rennes	8	16
3	Lille	8	15
4	Monaco	8	15
5	Lyon	8	14
6	Paris FC	8	14
7	Lens	8	13
8	Marseille	8	12
9	Lorient	8	12
10	Nice	8	11
11	Toulouse	8	10
12	Auxerre	8	10
13	Stade Brestois 29	8	9
14	Angers	8	8
15	Le Mans	8	7
16	Strasbourg	8	7
17	Estac Troyes	8	5
18	Le Havre	8	2