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Marseille - Olympiakos Piraeus

Europa League October 15, 2026 21:00
Marseille
#22 · 0 pts
vs
Olympiakos Piraeus
#26 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.81%
Win
Marseille
29.55%
Draw
31.63%
Win
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.56
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.4%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 30%
2 32%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 68%
X2 61%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 58%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Marseille a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Olympiakos Piraeus. Expected goals are 1.6 for Marseille and 1.2 for Olympiakos Piraeus (total 2.7), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.4% probability.

Season Stats

Marseille
6W 2D 7L
Olympiakos Piraeus
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.3
Conceded
0.8
5.3
Shots OT
5.0
5.5
Corners
6.3
57%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
53%
53%
O 2.5
27%
47%
BTTS
40%
27%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Marseille
5W 3D 2L · at home
Olympiakos Piraeus
5W 3D 2L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.6
1.4
Conceded
0.8
50%
Win %
50%
80%
Win or Draw
80%
90%
O 1.5
80%
80%
O 2.5
50%
70%
O 3.5
20%
80%
BTTS
50%
20%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Marseille Olympiakos Piraeus →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.9% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Marseille Marseille
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Marseille Marseille
Attack
40
Defence
55
Form
32
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Attack
55
Defence
70
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model gives Marseille a 38% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an Olympiakos Piraeus win.
How many goals are expected in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
Expected goals: Marseille 1.6, Olympiakos Piraeus 1.2 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.