42'
(ast. Chiquinho)
Santiago Hezze
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olympiakos Piraeus a 51% win probability (draw 21%, Marseille 26%). The final result was Marseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
0.90
Actual xG
0.63
3
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
9
Corners
1
16
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Keyliane Abdallah
36'
42'
ast. Chiquinho ·
Santiago Hezze⚽
43'
Panagiotis Retsos
60'
Bruno Onyemaechi
Tochukwu Nnadi
/ Amine Harit
62'
Neal Maupay
/ Amine Gouiri
62'
Emerson Palmieri
/ Ulisses Garcia
62'
67'
Remo Freuler
/
Gustavo Puerta
67'
Armando González
/
Roman Yaremchuk
72'
Kostas Fortounis
/
Jota Silva
73'
Nayair Tiknizyan
/
Bruno Onyemaechi
Angel Gomes
/ Faris Moumbagna
75'
Bamo Meite
77'
Keyliane Abdallah
/ Geoffrey Kondogbia
80'
82'
Gustavo Sá
/
Chiquinho
Pre-match prediction
26.98%
Marseille
21.88%
X
51.14%
Olympiakos ←
we assigned to the actual result (Olympiakos Piraeus)
51.14%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.90
-0.58
2.64
0.63
-2.02
xG dominance was balanced (0.90 – 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
J. de Lange
G
J. de Lange
G
33
Emerson
62'
D
Emerson
62'
D
21
N. Aguerd
D
N. Aguerd
D
18
B. Meité
D
B. Meité
D
22
T. Weah
D
T. Weah
D
6
T. Nnadi
62'
M
T. Nnadi
62'
M
8
H. Abdelli
M
H. Abdelli
M
14
Igor Paixão
M
Igor Paixão
M
7
A. Gomes
75'
M
A. Gomes
75'
M
48
K. Abdallah
80'
M
K. Abdallah
80'
M
11
N. Maupay
62'
F
N. Maupay
62'
F
Bench
9
A. Gouiri
28'
F
A. Gouiri
28'
F
77
A. Harit
28'
M
A. Harit
28'
M
4
C. Egan-Riley
D
C. Egan-Riley
D
46
E. Mbondo
D
E. Mbondo
D
29
F. Moumbagna
15'
F
F. Moumbagna
15'
F
19
G. Kondogbia
10'
M
G. Kondogbia
10'
M
40
J. Van Neck
G
J. Van Neck
G
74
K. Bezahaf
D
K. Bezahaf
D
43
T. Mmadi
F
T. Mmadi
F
92
T. Vermot
G
T. Vermot
G
25
U. Garcia
28'
D
U. Garcia
28'
D
1
S. Ortega
G
S. Ortega
G
70
S. Onyemaechi
73'
D
S. Onyemaechi
73'
D
5
L. Pirola
D
L. Pirola
D
45
P. Retsos
D
P. Retsos
D
2
M. Saliakas
D
M. Saliakas
D
32
S. Hezze
1 ⚽
M
S. Hezze
1 ⚽
M
15
G. Puerta
67'
M
G. Puerta
67'
M
20
Jota Silva
72'
M
Jota Silva
72'
M
22
Chiquinho
1 👟
82'
M
Chiquinho
1 👟
82'
M
10
Gelson Martins
M
Gelson Martins
M
11
R. Yaremchuk
67'
F
R. Yaremchuk
67'
F
Bench
34
A. González
23'
F
A. González
23'
F
77
C. Filis
M
C. Filis
M
6
David Carmo
D
David Carmo
D
91
D. Stournaras
G
D. Stournaras
G
8
Gustavo Sá
8'
M
Gustavo Sá
8'
M
92
I. Georgakopoulos
G
I. Georgakopoulos
G
7
K. Fortounis
18'
M
K. Fortounis
18'
M
27
M. Pedersen
D
M. Pedersen
D
71
N. Tiknizyan
17'
D
N. Tiknizyan
17'
D
19
R. Freuler
23'
M
R. Freuler
23'
M
4
Z. Smajlović
D
Z. Smajlović
D
Best on the pitch
S. Hezze
M · Olympiakos
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 44 pass
S. Ortega
G · Olympiakos
7.90
· 41 pass
Chiquinho
M · Olympiakos
7.29
1 👟
1 shots
· 31 pass
L. Pirola
D · Olympiakos
7.25
· 48 pass
Igor Paixão
M · Marseille
7.15
4 shots
· 29 pass
U. Garcia
D · Marseille
7.02
· 20 pass
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Aguerd | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 72% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Meité | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Weah | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Nnadi | M | 62 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 75 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Abdallah | M | 80 | 6.19 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Maupay | F | 62 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 28 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Harit | M | 28 | 5.89 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Moumbagna | F | 15 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Kondogbia | M | 10 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| U. Garcia | D | 28 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
Olympiakos Piraeus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ortega | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Onyemaechi | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Pirola | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Retsos | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Saliakas | D | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Hezze | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 44 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Puerta | M | 67 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Jota Silva | M | 72 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Chiquinho | M | 82 | 7.29 | — | 1 | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Gelson Martins | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Yaremchuk | F | 67 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 23 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Sá | M | 8 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Fortounis | M | 18 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Tiknizyan | D | 17 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 23 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The final score was Marseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Marseille win, 21% to a draw, and 51% to an Olympiakos Piraeus win.