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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 21:00 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Marseille
#11 · 0 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Rennes
#15 · 0 pts
P. Hojbjerg (ast. M. Greenwood) 2'
A. Gouiri 10'
P. Aubameyang (ast. P. Hojbjerg) 55'
84' (ast. A. Nordin) E. Lepaul
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 43% win probability (draw 25%, Rennes 31%). The final result was Marseille 3–1 Rennes. In 2 previous meetings, Marseille have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Rennes.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
20
11
Shots on target
6
3.01
Actual xG
2.56
4
Saves
8
45%
Possession
55%
4
Corners
11
18
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Hojbjerg · ast. M. Greenwood
2'
⚽A. Gouiri
10'
46'
B. Embolo / S. Szymanski ↕
P. Hojbjerg
49'
⚽P. Aubameyang · ast. P. Hojbjerg
55'
67'
A. Nordin / M. Tamari ↕
↕ I. Paixao / A. Vermeeren
72'
A. Gouiri
76'
79'
M. Camara
79'
N. Mukiele / L. Blas ↕
↕ P. Hojbjerg / Q. Timber
82'
↕ T. Nnadi / N. Kamissoko
83'
84'
ast. A. Nordin · E. Lepaul⚽
↕ T. Weah / B. Pavard
88'
B. Pavard
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
43.14%
Marseille ←
25.08%
X
31.79%
Rennes
we assigned to the actual result (Marseille) 43.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Marseille
2.06
3.01
+0.95
Rennes
1.78
2.56
+0.78
Marseille dominated by xG (3.01 vs 2.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Auxerre Auxerre 0 0
2 Angers Angers 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
5 Lorient Lorient 0 0
6 Le Havre Le Havre 0 0
7 Le Mans Le Mans 0 0
8 Lille Lille 0 0
9 Nice Nice 0 0
10 Lyon Lyon 0 0
11 Marseille Marseille 0 0
12 Paris FC Paris FC 0 0
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
14 Lens Lens 0 0
15 Rennes Rennes 0 0
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0 0
17 Toulouse Toulouse 0 0
18 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 0 0
Lineups
Marseille Marseille 4-2-3-1
1 G. Rulli G. Rulli G 7.20
33 Emerson Emerson D 7.50
32 F. Medina F. Medina D 7.50
5 Leonardo Balerdi Leonardo Balerdi D 7.70
22 T. Weah T. Weah 88' D 6.90
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 1 ⚽ 1 👟 82' M 9.20
6 T. Nnadi T. Nnadi 83' M 6.60
14 Igor Paixão Igor Paixão 72' M 7.20
9 A. Gouiri A. Gouiri 1 ⚽ M 7.90
10 M. Greenwood M. Greenwood 1 👟 M 8.60
17 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
78 Ange Lago Ange Lago F
18 Arthur Vermeeren Arthur Vermeeren 18' M 6.50
28 Benjamin Pavard Benjamin Pavard 9' D 6.60
26 Bilal Nadir Bilal Nadir M
11 Ethan Nwaneri Ethan Nwaneri M
72 Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani D
12 Jeffrey De Lange Jeffrey De Lange G
71 Nouhoum Kamissoko Nouhoum Kamissoko 14' M 6.70
27 Quinten Timber Quinten Timber 8' M 6.50
Rennes Rennes 4-1-4-1
50 Mathys Silistrie Mathys Silistrie G 7.20
26 Q. Merlin Q. Merlin D 6.60
24 Anthony Rouault Anthony Rouault D 6.30
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 6.90
18 Mahamadou Nagida Mahamadou Nagida D 6.20
21 Valentin Rongier Valentin Rongier M 7.30
10 Ludovic Blas Ludovic Blas 79' M 6.30
45 M. Camara M. Camara M 7.00
17
Sebastian Szymański 45' M 6.30
11 Mousa Tamari Mousa Tamari 67' M 6.60
9 E. Lepaul E. Lepaul 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
36 Alidu Seidu Alidu Seidu D
70 Arnaud Nordin Arnaud Nordin 1 👟 23' F 7.20
7 B. Embolo B. Embolo 45' F 6.50
6 Djaoui Cissé Djaoui Cissé M
69 Henrick Do Marcolino Henrick Do Marcolino F
60 Kilian Belazzoug Kilian Belazzoug G
3 Lilian Brassier Lilian Brassier D
65 Nordan Mukiele Nordan Mukiele 11' F 6.70
77 Yassir Zabiri Yassir Zabiri F
Best on the pitch
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
M · Marseille
9.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 55 pass
M. Greenwood
M. Greenwood
M · Marseille
8.60
1 👟
3 shots · 40 pass
A. Gouiri
A. Gouiri
M · Marseille
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Leonardo Balerdi
Leonardo Balerdi
D · Marseille
7.70
1 shots · 36 pass
Emerson
Emerson
D · Marseille
7.50
1 shots · 34 pass
F. Medina
F. Medina
D · Marseille
7.50
· 43 pass
Marseille Marseille — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Rulli G 90 7.20 — — — 26 12% — — —
Emerson D 90 7.50 — — 1 34 30% 3 — —
F. Medina D 90 7.50 — — — 43 37% 3 — —
Leonardo Balerdi D 90 7.70 — — 1 36 30% 3 — —
T. Weah D 88 6.90 — — 1 37 33% 1 — —
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 82 9.20 1 1 2 55 44% 1 1 —
T. Nnadi M 83 6.60 — — 1 30 28% 1 — —
Igor Paixão M 72 7.20 — — 4 28 27% 3 — —
A. Gouiri M 90 7.90 1 — 1 42 36% — 1 —
M. Greenwood M 90 8.60 — 1 3 40 29% 1 — —
P. Aubameyang F 90 7.00 1 — 6 18 13% — — —
Arthur Vermeeren M 18 6.50 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Benjamin Pavard D 9 6.60 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
Nouhoum Kamissoko M 14 6.70 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Quinten Timber M 8 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Rennes Rennes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mathys Silistrie G 90 7.20 — — — 25 22% — — —
Q. Merlin D 90 6.60 — — — 49 43% 1 — —
Anthony Rouault D 90 6.30 — — — 35 26% — — —
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal D 90 6.90 — — 2 44 40% — — —
Mahamadou Nagida D 90 6.20 — — 1 54 49% 2 — —
Valentin Rongier M 90 7.30 — — — 84 77% 2 — —
Ludovic Blas M 79 6.30 — — 2 32 27% 2 — —
M. Camara M 90 7.00 — — 2 43 39% 6 1 —
Sebastian Szymański M 45 6.30 — — — 24 17% 1 — —
Mousa Tamari M 67 6.60 — — 4 20 16% 2 — —
E. Lepaul F 90 7.20 1 — 4 16 10% — — —
Arnaud Nordin F 23 7.20 — 1 1 19 13% 1 — —
B. Embolo F 45 6.50 — — 4 13 11% — — —
Nordan Mukiele F 11 6.70 — — — 6 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Rennes?
The final score was Marseille 3–1 Rennes.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Rennes?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Marseille win, 25% to a draw, and 31% to an Rennes win.