Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 1
August 21, 2026 20:45
A. Gouiri
(ast. A. Gomes)
46'
A. Gouiri
66'
(pen.)
K. Abdallah
89'
P. Hojbjerg
90'+6
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Marseille a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Strasbourg 31%). The final result was Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg. In 2 previous meetings, Marseille have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Strasbourg.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
2
1.79
Actual xG
0.20
2
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
3
Corners
4
17
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Gouiri
· ast. A. Gomes
46'
48'
S. Amo-Ameyaw
59'
S. El Mourabet
61'
S. Mara
⚽A. Gouiri
(pen.)
66'
69'
G. Reyna
/
S. Amo-Ameyaw
69'
P. Demba
/
D. Sousa
69'
J. Ortega
/
S. Mara
C. Egan-Riley
/ N. Aguerd
75'
79'
M. Del Blanco
/
G. Antwi
N. Aguerd
79'
79'
F. Balde
/
S. Nanasi
G. Kondogbia
/ D. Cornelius
83'
H. Abdelli
/ T. Nnadi
83'
A. Harit
/ K. Abdallah
83'
⚽K. Abdallah
89'
A. Gomes
/ N. Maupay
90'+1
⚽P. Hojbjerg
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
37.02%
Marseille ←
31.59%
X
31.38%
Strasbourg
we assigned to the actual result (Marseille)
37.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.79
+0.37
0.80
0.20
-0.61
Marseille dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
J. de Lange
G
J. de Lange
G
33
Emerson
D
Emerson
D
19
Geoffrey Kondogbia
83'
D
Geoffrey Kondogbia
83'
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
75'
D
C. Egan-Riley
75'
D
22
T. Weah
D
T. Weah
D
23
P. Højbjerg
1 ⚽
M
P. Højbjerg
1 ⚽
M
8
H. Abdelli
83'
M
H. Abdelli
83'
M
14
Igor Paixão
M
Igor Paixão
M
7
A. Gomes
1 👟
M
A. Gomes
1 👟
M
77
A. Harit
83'
M
A. Harit
83'
M
9
A. Gouiri
2 ⚽
F
A. Gouiri
2 ⚽
F
Bench
13
D. Cornelius
10'
D
D. Cornelius
10'
D
48
K. Abdallah
1 ⚽
10'
F
K. Abdallah
1 ⚽
10'
F
74
Kelyann Bezahaf
D
Kelyann Bezahaf
D
21
N. Aguerd
18'
D
N. Aguerd
18'
D
11
N. Maupay
2'
F
N. Maupay
2'
F
43
Tadjidine Mmadi
F
Tadjidine Mmadi
F
6
Tochukwu Nnadi
10'
M
Tochukwu Nnadi
10'
M
92
T. Vermot
G
T. Vermot
G
25
U. Garcia
D
U. Garcia
D
1
F. Jörgensen
G
F. Jörgensen
G
16
G. Antwi
79'
D
G. Antwi
79'
D
24
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
2
A. Omobamidele
D
A. Omobamidele
D
22
G. Doué
D
G. Doué
D
29
S. El Mourabet
59'
M
S. El Mourabet
59'
M
23
Diogo Sousa
69'
M
Diogo Sousa
69'
M
80
Gessime Yassine
M
Gessime Yassine
M
11
S. Nanasi
79'
M
S. Nanasi
79'
M
7
S. Amo-Ameyaw
69'
M
S. Amo-Ameyaw
69'
M
14
S. Mara
69'
F
S. Mara
69'
F
Bench
19
Fabio Baldé
14'
F
Fabio Baldé
14'
F
37
Ghianny Kodia
F
Ghianny Kodia
F
10
G. Reyna
24'
M
G. Reyna
24'
M
4
J. Mitchell
D
J. Mitchell
D
30
J. Ortega
24'
F
J. Ortega
24'
F
17
M. Amougou
M
M. Amougou
M
15
Mateo Del Blanco
14'
D
Mateo Del Blanco
14'
D
12
M. Piekutowski
G
M. Piekutowski
G
21
P. Diop
24'
M
P. Diop
24'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Gouiri
F · Marseille
8.00
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 26 pass
A. Gomes
M · Marseille
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 46 pass
K. Abdallah
F · Marseille
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Emerson
D · Marseille
7.20
· 54 pass
Geoffrey Kondogbia
D · Marseille
7.20
· 77 pass
C. Egan-Riley
D · Marseille
7.20
· 73 pass
Marseille — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. de Lange | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Emerson | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Geoffrey Kondogbia | D | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 72% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Egan-Riley | D | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 73 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Weah | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | — | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 83 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Paixão | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 91 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Harit | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 93 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 4 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| K. Abdallah | F | 10 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| N. Aguerd | D | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Maupay | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tochukwu Nnadi | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
Strasbourg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jörgensen | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | — | — |
| G. Antwi | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Omobamidele | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Doué | D | 93 | 5.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 59 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Diogo Sousa | M | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Gessime Yassine | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | M | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Mara | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabio Baldé | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Ortega | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Del Blanco | D | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Diop | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Marseille vs Strasbourg?
The final score was Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg.
What did the model predict before Marseille vs Strasbourg?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Marseille win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Strasbourg win.