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Martinique - Aruba

CONCACAF Nations League November 17, 2026 01:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
25.84%
Win
Martinique
31.48%
Draw
42.68%
Win
Aruba
0.71
Expected xG
1.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (18.79%)
1X2 Result
1 26%
X 31%
2 43%
Double Chance
1X 57%
X2 74%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 61%
Over 2.5 26%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aruba a 42% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Martinique. Expected goals are 0.7 for Martinique and 1.0 for Aruba (total 1.7), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 18.79% probability.

Season Stats

Martinique
1W 1D 2L
Aruba
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
2.0
1.8
Conceded
1.2
3.8
Shots OT
7.0
6.0
Corners
7.3
47%
Poss.
67%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
75%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Martinique
1W 1D 0L · at home
Aruba
1W 0D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Martinique Aruba →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.4% 18.1% 9.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 12.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

D El Salvador 1–1
W Honduras 2–1
L Suriname 2–1
L El Salvador 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L Antigua and Barbuda 3–2
W Anguilla 3–2
W Anguilla 0–2
W Antigua and Barbuda 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Martinique Martinique
Attack
31
Defence
62
Form
46
Aruba Aruba
Attack
60
Defence
66
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Martinique vs Aruba?
The model gives Martinique a 25% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 42% for an Aruba win.
How many goals are expected in Martinique vs Aruba?
Expected goals: Martinique 0.7, Aruba 1.0 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Martinique vs Aruba?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.79%.