Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 7
April 28, 2026 16:00
Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
A. Atef
(ast. S. Ibrahim)
53'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Masr a 48% win probability (draw 32%, Pharco 19%). The final result was Masr 1–0 Pharco. In 1 previous meetings, Masr have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pharco.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
1
0.85
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
7
Corners
4
19
Tackles
10
Match Events
46'
M. Ahmed
/
A. Rashdan
46'
W. R. Medhat
/
M. Fathy
⚽A. Atef
· ast. S. Ibrahim
53'
Z. El Sayed
/ T. Alaa
58'
63'
M. Yasser
/
M. Fakhri
71'
A. Ghouma
/
W. Mostafa
71'
M. Farhat
/
A. Ndiay
M. Magassa
/ R. Khalil
74'
M. Bah
/ H. Alaa
74'
A. Atef
/ Abdelrahman El Sakran
74'
M. Saber
/ A. Emad
86'
Pre-match prediction
48.02%
Masr ←
32.17%
X
19.82%
Pharco
we assigned to the actual result (Masr)
48.02%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
0.85
-0.54
0.82
0.54
-0.28
Masr dominated by xG (0.85 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
Mohamed Mazzika
G
Mohamed Mazzika
G
4
Ahmed Castelo
D
Ahmed Castelo
D
3
Abdallah Bakri
D
Abdallah Bakri
D
30
Ali Gamal
D
Ali Gamal
D
15
D
88
Kabaka
M
25
58'
M
9
Ahmed Atef
1 ⚽
74'
M
Ahmed Atef
1 ⚽
74'
M
77
Mahmoud Saber
86'
M
Mahmoud Saber
86'
M
37
M. Magassa
74'
F
M. Magassa
74'
F
22
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah
74'
F
Sulahmana Mamadu Bah
74'
F
Bench
17
Abdelrahman El Banouby
16'
F
Abdelrahman El Banouby
16'
F
19
Abdel Rahman Emad
10'
M
Abdel Rahman Emad
10'
M
11
Mostafa Saad
F
Mostafa Saad
F
7
Rafaat Khalil
16'
F
Rafaat Khalil
16'
F
23
Tarek Alaa
32'
D
Tarek Alaa
32'
D
25
G
11
Walid Mostafa
71'
D
Walid Mostafa
71'
D
12
D
33
B. Ndiaye
D
B. Ndiaye
D
44
45'
D
17
Mohamed Gaber
D
Mohamed Gaber
D
4
Mohamed Fakhry
63'
M
Mohamed Fakhry
63'
M
23
M
70
Fathy Mohamed
45'
M
Fathy Mohamed
45'
M
7
Karim El Tayeb
F
Karim El Tayeb
F
32
Aliou Ndiay
71'
F
Aliou Ndiay
71'
F
Bench
21
Azmi Ghouma
19'
D
Azmi Ghouma
19'
D
57
Hossam Reda
M
Hossam Reda
M
9
Mahmoud Farahat
19'
M
Mahmoud Farahat
19'
M
22
Mohamed Ezz
F
Mohamed Ezz
F
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Gaber
D · Pharco
7.90
· 50 pass
Ali Gamal
D · Masr
7.90
1 shots
· 61 pass
D · Masr
7.50
· 30 pass
M · Masr
7.50
1 shots
· 22 pass
Mohamed Mazzika
G · Masr
7.30
· 30 pass
D · Pharco
7.30
· 35 pass
Masr — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Mazzika | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Castelo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Abdallah Bakri | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Gamal | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| Kabaka | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 58 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 5 | — | — | |
| Ahmed Atef | M | 74 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Mahmoud Saber | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Magassa | F | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Sulahmana Mamadu Bah | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Abdelrahman El Banouby | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Abdel Rahman Emad | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Rafaat Khalil | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Tarek Alaa | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Pharco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Walid Mostafa | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — | |
| B. Ndiaye | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 2 | — | — | |
| Mohamed Gaber | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Fakhry | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Fathy Mohamed | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Karim El Tayeb | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Aliou Ndiay | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Azmi Ghouma | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Farahat | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Masr vs Pharco?
The final score was Masr 1–0 Pharco.
What did the model predict before Masr vs Pharco?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Masr win, 32% to a draw, and 19% to an Pharco win.