Mathare United - APS Bomet
Premier League
September 19, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.42%
Win
Mathare United
33.15%
Draw
33.42%
Win
APS Bomet
0.82
1.85
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.66%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mathare United a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for APS Bomet. Expected goals are 0.8 for Mathare United and 1.8 for APS Bomet (total 2.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Mathare United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for APS Bomet.
Season Stats
5W
4D
6L
7W
5D
3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.2
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
53%
53%
O 2.5
27%
53%
BTTS
33%
27%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
5W
1D
4L
· at home
5W
3D
2L
· away
1.4
gls/g
1.3
0.9
Conceded
0.6
50%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
80%
60%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
60%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Mathare United
APS Bomet →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mathare United
Attack
13
Defence
33
Form
20
APS Bomet
Attack
19
Defence
48
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mathare United
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Tusker
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
GOR Mahia
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
AFC Leopards
|
0 | 0 |
| 6 |
KCB
|
0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Bandari
|
0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Homeboyz
|
0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Police
|
0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Migori Youth
|
0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Shabana
|
0 | 0 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Mombasa Elite
|
0 | 0 |
| 16 |
Mara Sugar
|
0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Nairobi United
|
0 | 0 |
| 18 |
3K
|
0 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mathare United vs APS Bomet?
The model gives Mathare United a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an APS Bomet win.
How many goals are expected in Mathare United vs APS Bomet?
Expected goals: Mathare United 0.8, APS Bomet 1.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mathare United vs APS Bomet?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.