Mathare United - Homeboyz
Premier League
November 20, 2026 12:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.93%
Win
Mathare United
32.13%
Draw
33.94%
Win
Homeboyz
1.35
1.41
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.28%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
32%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
66%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mathare United a 33% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Homeboyz. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mathare United and 1.4 for Homeboyz (total 2.8), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.28% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Mathare United have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Homeboyz.
Season Stats
4W
4D
7L
3W
6D
6L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
53%
O 2.5
33%
40%
BTTS
47%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
4W
2D
4L
· at home
2W
4D
4L
· away
1.2
gls/g
0.9
0.9
Conceded
1.2
40%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
20%
10%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Mathare United
Homeboyz →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mathare United
Attack
16
Defence
62
Form
37
Homeboyz
Attack
15
Defence
53
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
GOR Mahia
|
6 | 13 |
| 2 |
KCB
|
6 | 13 |
| 3 |
AFC Leopards
|
6 | 10 |
| 4 |
Kenya Police
|
6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Shabana
|
6 | 9 |
| 6 |
Mara Sugar
|
6 | 9 |
| 7 |
3K
|
6 | 9 |
| 8 |
Murang'a SEAL
|
6 | 8 |
| 9 |
Bandari
|
6 | 7 |
| 9 |
Police
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Posta Rangers FC
|
6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Tusker
|
4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Migori Youth
|
5 | 6 |
| 13 |
APS Bomet
|
6 | 6 |
| 14 |
Ulinzi Stars
|
6 | 6 |
| 15 |
Nairobi United
|
6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Mathare United
|
6 | 5 |
| 17 |
Homeboyz
|
5 | 5 |
| 18 |
Mombasa Elite
|
6 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mathare United vs Homeboyz?
The model gives Mathare United a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 33% for an Homeboyz win.
How many goals are expected in Mathare United vs Homeboyz?
Expected goals: Mathare United 1.4, Homeboyz 1.4 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Mathare United vs Homeboyz?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.28%.