Mauritania - Central African Republic
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 24, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.83%
Win
Mauritania
32.05%
Draw
31.12%
Win
Central African Republic
1.52
1.03
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.98%)
1X2 Result
1
37%
X
32%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
63%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mauritania a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Central African Republic. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mauritania and 1.0 for Central African Republic (total 2.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.98% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Mauritania
Central African Republic →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Mauritania
Attack
22
Defence
80
Form
54
Central African Republic
Attack
21
Defence
51
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mauritania vs Central African Republic?
The model gives Mauritania a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Central African Republic win.
How many goals are expected in Mauritania vs Central African Republic?
Expected goals: Mauritania 1.5, Central African Republic 1.0 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Mauritania vs Central African Republic?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.98%.