Mauritius - Sri Lanka
Friendlies Internazionali
October 05, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Mauritius
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Sri Lanka
0.97
1.37
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.28%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mauritius a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Sri Lanka. Expected goals are 1.0 for Mauritius and 1.4 for Sri Lanka (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.28% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Mauritius
Sri Lanka →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Mauritius
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Sri Lanka
Attack
100
Defence
75
Form
77
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
The model gives Mauritius a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Sri Lanka win.
How many goals are expected in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
Expected goals: Mauritius 1.0, Sri Lanka 1.4 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mauritius vs Sri Lanka?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.28%.