B. Rubio
30'
(pen.)
(pen.)
41'
A. Avila
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mazatlán a 38% win probability (draw 27%, Club Queretaro 34%). The final result was Mazatlán 1–1 Club Queretaro. In 1 previous meetings, Mazatlán have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Club Queretaro.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
18
3
Shots on target
4
1.73
Actual xG
1.93
3
Saves
2
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
9
11
Tackles
25
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
M. Zaleta
24'
24'
L. Abascia
⚽B. Rubio
(pen.)
30'
41'
(pen.)
A. Avila⚽
S. Godinez
/ G. Lopez
46'
M. Zaleta
/ M. Lainez
55'
B. Rubio
/ Fabio Gomes
55'
65'
L. Rodriguez
/
J. Unjanque
Y. Barcenas
/ J. Esquivel
78'
J. Ovalle
/ O. F. Moreno Villegas
78'
F. Almada
82'
88'
J. Robles
/
B. Duarte
88'
J. Cazares
/
F. Venegas
Pre-match prediction
38.28%
Mazatlán
27.63%
X ←
34.08%
Club
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.73
+0.45
1.24
1.93
+0.69
xG dominance was balanced (1.73 – 1.93).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
14
M. Zaleta
55'
D
M. Zaleta
55'
D
4
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
19
Lucas Merolla
D
Lucas Merolla
D
5
F. Almada
D
F. Almada
D
21
D
17
J. Ovalle
78'
M
J. Ovalle
78'
M
25
45'
M
11
Y. Bárcenas
78'
M
Y. Bárcenas
78'
M
15
Brian Rubio
1 ⚽
55'
F
7
F
Bench
9
B. Arce
M
B. Arce
M
28
D. Hernandez
F
90
Fábio Gomes
35'
F
Fábio Gomes
35'
F
193
G. Lopez
45'
F
16
J. Esquivel
12'
D
1
G
27
D. Parra
D
D. Parra
D
2
L. Abascia
D
L. Abascia
D
9
D
22
B. Duarte
88'
D
B. Duarte
88'
D
6
S. Homenchenko
M
S. Homenchenko
M
4
Carlo Adriano
M
Carlo Adriano
M
17
F. Venegas
88'
M
F. Venegas
88'
M
37
M. Coronel
M
M. Coronel
M
14
Jean Unjanque
65'
M
Jean Unjanque
65'
M
31
A. Ávila
1 ⚽
F
A. Ávila
1 ⚽
F
Bench
190
Juan Pablo Cázares
11'
M
Juan Pablo Cázares
11'
M
10
L. Rodríguez
25'
M
L. Rodríguez
25'
M
Best on the pitch
G. Lopez
F · Mazatlán
7.30
1 shots
· 21 pass
D · Mazatlán
7.30
· 41 pass
S. Homenchenko
M · Club
7.30
3 shots
· 58 pass
B. Duarte
D · Club
7.30
· 19 pass
Lucas Merolla
D · Mazatlán
7.20
· 60 pass
F. Almada
D · Mazatlán
7.20
3 shots
· 52 pass
Mazatlán — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| M. Zaleta | D | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Merolla | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Almada | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Ovalle | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — | |
| Y. Bárcenas | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Brian Rubio | F | 55 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Fábio Gomes | F | 35 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| G. Lopez | F | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Esquivel | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Club Queretaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D. Parra | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Abascia | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| B. Duarte | D | 88 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 9 | — | — |
| S. Homenchenko | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 58 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| Carlo Adriano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| F. Venegas | M | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Coronel | M | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Unjanque | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ávila | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Cázares | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
The final score was Mazatlán 1–1 Club Queretaro.
What did the model predict before Mazatlán vs Club Queretaro?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Mazatlán win, 27% to a draw, and 34% to an Club Queretaro win.