Liga MX · Clausura - 12 March 21, 2026 04:06 Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan

Mazatlán

1 – 1

Final score

Cruz Azul

#8 · 12 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 17%). The final result was Mazatlán 1–1 Cruz Azul. In 1 previous meetings, Mazatlán have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

6

1.65

Actual xG

1.27

35%

Possession

65%

3

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

17.98%

Mazatlán

15.11%

X ←

66.92%

Cruz

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.11% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mazatlán

1.18

1.65

+0.47

Cruz

2.92

1.27

-1.65

Mazatlán dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.27). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Toluca	7	16
2	Club America	6	16
3	Guadalajara Chivas	7	14
4	Club Queretaro	7	13
5	Club Tijuana	7	13
6	Puebla	7	13
7	Atlas	8	13
8	Cruz Azul	7	12
9	CF Pachuca	8	11
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	7	11
11	Leon	7	10
11	Monterrey	7	10
13	Necaxa	8	8
14	Tigres UANL	8	7
15	Atlante FC	8	7
16	Atletico San Luis	7	6
17	Santos Laguna	7	1
18	FC Juarez	7	0