Liga MX · Clausura - 12 March 21, 2026 04:06 Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan

Mazatlán

1 – 1

Final score

Cruz Azul

#2 · 26 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 17%). The final result was Mazatlán 1–1 Cruz Azul. In 1 previous meetings, Mazatlán have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

6

1.65

Actual xG

1.27

35%

Possession

65%

3

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

17.98%

Mazatlán

15.11%

X ←

66.92%

Cruz

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.11% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mazatlán

1.18

1.65

+0.47

Cruz

2.92

1.27

-1.65

Mazatlán dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.27). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	13	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	26
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	26
4	Atlas	14	24
5	Toluca	14	23
6	Leon	14	22
7	Monterrey	13	20
8	Club Tijuana	13	20
9	Club Queretaro	13	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	19
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	14	17
13	CF Pachuca	14	16
14	Puebla	14	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	15
16	Atlante FC	14	14
17	Necaxa	14	10
18	FC Juarez	14	5