Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 21, 2026 04:06
✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 17%). The final result was Mazatlán 1–1 Cruz Azul. In 1 previous meetings, Mazatlán have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
6
1.65
Actual xG
1.27
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
17.98%
Mazatlán
15.11%
X ←
66.92%
Cruz
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
15.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.65
+0.47
2.92
1.27
-1.65
Mazatlán dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
The final score was Mazatlán 1–1 Cruz Azul.
What did the model predict before Mazatlán vs Cruz Azul?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Mazatlán win, 15% to a draw, and 66% to an Cruz Azul win.