Liga MX · Clausura - 12 March 21, 2026 04:06 Estadio El Encanto, Mazatlan

Mazatlán

#16 · 14 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Cruz Azul

#1 · 4 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Draw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 66% win probability (draw 15%, Mazatlán 17%). The final result was Mazatlán 1–1 Cruz Azul. In 1 previous meetings, Mazatlán have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruz Azul.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

6

1.65

Actual xG

1.27

35%

Possession

65%

3

Corners

9

Pre-match prediction

17.98%

Mazatlán

15.11%

X ←

66.92%

Cruz

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 15.11% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Mazatlán

1.18

1.65

+0.47

Cruz

2.92

1.27

-1.65

Mazatlán dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.27). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Toluca	17	37
2	Tigres UANL	17	36
3	Cruz Azul	17	35
4	Club America	17	34
5	Monterrey	17	31
6	Guadalajara Chivas	17	29
7	Club Tijuana	17	24
8	FC Juarez	17	23
9	CF Pachuca	17	22
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	17	21
11	Santos Laguna	17	20
12	Club Queretaro	17	20
13	Necaxa	17	17
14	Atlas	17	17
15	Atletico San Luis	17	16
16	Mazatlán	17	14
17	Leon	17	13
18	Puebla	17	12