A-League Men · Quarter-finals May 02, 2026 11:40

Melbourne Victory

#4 · 40 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Sydney

#5 · 39 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Melbourne Victory, result Sydney vince

80' P. Wood

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Melbourne Victory a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Sydney 19%). The final result was Melbourne Victory 0–1 Sydney. In 3 previous meetings, Melbourne Victory have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sydney.

Match statistics

12

Total shots

5

6

Shots on target

2

1

Saves

6

51%

Possession

49%

10

Corners

6

11

Tackles

28

0

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

61'

A. Arslan / T. Quintal ↕

68'

P. Okon-Engstler

↕ Clarismario / K. Jelacic

71'

77'

P. Wood / A. Stamatelopoulos ↕

78'

W. Kamijo

80'

P. Wood⚽

81'

R. Youlley / A. Akon ↕

↕ J. Mata / L. D'Arrigo

84'

↕ C. Nduka / N. Vergos

84'

↕ N. Velupillay / M. Grimaldi

84'

85'

P. Wood

↕ D. Genreau / R. Piscopo

89'

90'+5

A. Arslan

Pre-match prediction

58.97%

Melbourne

21.33%

X

19.7%

Sydney ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Sydney) 19.7% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Melbourne

2.00

—

—

Sydney

0.96

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Newcastle Jets	26	48
2	Adelaide United	26	43
3	Auckland	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory	26	40
5	Sydney	26	39
6	Melbourne City	26	38
7	Macarthur	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners	26	32
10	Perth Glory	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers	26	21

Lineups

Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1

40

G 6.30

18

F. Lino D 6.70

2 J. Davidson D 6.60

21

Roderick D 6.60

22

J. Rawlins D 7.00

8

J. Valadon M 6.90

10 D. Genreau 89' M 6.90

11 Clarismario Rodrigues 71' M 6.30

64 Mata 84' M 7.20

17

Nishan Velupillay 84' M 6.20

44

C. Nduka 84' F 6.20

Bench

23 K. Jelacic 24' F 6.90

27

L. D'Arrigo 11' M 6.70

14

M. Grimaldi 11' F 6.50

9 N. Vergos 11' F 6.30

15

S. Esposito D

Sydney 4-2-3-1

12

G 7.30

17

B. Garuccio D 6.70

4

J. Courtney-Perkins D 7.50

41

Alexandar Popovic D 7.00

23 R. Grant D 6.90

24 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M 6.90

8

W. Kamijo M 7.30

7 P. Quispe M 7.00

20

T. Quintal 61' M 6.30

44

A. Akon 81' M 6.60

80

A. Stamatelopoulos 77' F 6.50

Bench

70

A. Arslan 34' M 6.00

13

P. Wood 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.70

Best on the pitch

P. Wood

F · Sydney

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 5 pass

J. Courtney-Perkins

D · Sydney

7.50

· 58 pass

W. Kamijo

M · Sydney

7.30

· 41 pass

G · Sydney

7.30

· 43 pass

Mata

M · Melbourne

7.20

1 shots · 45 pass

P. Quispe

M · Sydney

7.00

· 40 pass

Melbourne Victory — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	6.30	—	—	—	23	14%	—	—	—
F. Lino	D	92	6.70	—	—	—	34	27%	2	—	—
J. Davidson	D	95	6.60	—	—	—	60	43%	—	—	—
Roderick	D	95	6.60	—	—	—	54	42%	1	—	—
J. Rawlins	D	95	7.00	—	—	—	44	34%	2	—	—
J. Valadon	M	95	6.90	—	—	—	31	26%	2	—	—
D. Genreau	M	89	6.90	—	—	2	54	44%	2	—	—
Clarismario Rodrigues	M	71	6.30	—	—	—	15	10%	—	—	—
Mata	M	84	7.20	—	—	1	45	36%	1	—	—
Nishan Velupillay	M	84	6.20	—	—	3	22	17%	1	—	—
C. Nduka	F	84	6.20	—	—	5	10	7%	—	—	—
K. Jelacic	F	24	6.90	—	—	—	5	2%	—	—	—
L. D'Arrigo	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
M. Grimaldi	F	11	6.50	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
N. Vergos	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Sydney — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	95	7.30	—	—	—	43	29%	—	—	—
B. Garuccio	D	95	6.70	—	—	—	39	29%	2	—	—
J. Courtney-Perkins	D	95	7.50	—	—	—	58	49%	1	—	—
Alexandar Popovic	D	95	7.00	—	—	1	46	39%	3	—	—
R. Grant	D	95	6.90	—	—	—	25	16%	4	—	—
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler	M	95	6.90	—	—	—	55	44%	5	1	—
W. Kamijo	M	95	7.30	—	—	—	41	34%	5	1	—
P. Quispe	M	95	7.00	—	—	—	40	36%	4	—	—
T. Quintal	M	61	6.30	—	—	1	20	15%	—	—	—
A. Akon	M	81	6.60	—	—	1	15	9%	4	—	—
A. Stamatelopoulos	F	77	6.50	—	—	—	12	6%	—	—	—
A. Arslan	M	34	6.00	—	—	1	8	6%	—	1	—
P. Wood	F	18	7.70	1	—	1	5	5%	—	1	—