✗Model wrong — prediction Melbourne Victory, result Sydney wins
80'
P. Wood
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Melbourne Victory a 58% win probability (draw 21%, Sydney 19%). The final result was Melbourne Victory 0–1 Sydney. In 3 previous meetings, Melbourne Victory have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Sydney.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
6
51%
Possession
49%
10
Corners
6
11
Tackles
28
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
61'
A. Arslan
/
T. Quintal
68'
P. Okon-Engstler
Clarismario
/ K. Jelacic
71'
77'
P. Wood
/
A. Stamatelopoulos
78'
W. Kamijo
80'
P. Wood⚽
81'
R. Youlley
/
A. Akon
J. Mata
/ L. D'Arrigo
84'
C. Nduka
/ N. Vergos
84'
N. Velupillay
/ M. Grimaldi
84'
85'
P. Wood
D. Genreau
/ R. Piscopo
89'
90'+5
A. Arslan
Pre-match prediction
58.97%
Melbourne
21.33%
X
19.7%
Sydney ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sydney)
19.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.00
—
—
0.96
—
—
Lineups
40
G
18
Franco Lino
D
Franco Lino
D
2
Jason Davidson
D
Jason Davidson
D
21
Roderick
D
22
J. Rawlins
D
J. Rawlins
D
8
Jordi Valadon
M
Jordi Valadon
M
10
D. Genreau
89'
M
D. Genreau
89'
M
11
Clarismario Rodrigues
71'
M
Clarismario Rodrigues
71'
M
64
Mata
84'
M
Mata
84'
M
17
Nishan Velupillay
84'
M
Nishan Velupillay
84'
M
44
Charles Nduka
84'
F
Charles Nduka
84'
F
Bench
23
Keegan Jelacic
24'
F
Keegan Jelacic
24'
F
27
L. D'Arrigo
11'
M
14
M. Grimaldi
11'
F
M. Grimaldi
11'
F
9
N. Vergos
11'
F
N. Vergos
11'
F
15
S. Esposito
D
12
G
17
Ben Garuccio
D
Ben Garuccio
D
4
Jordan Courtney-Perkins
D
Jordan Courtney-Perkins
D
41
Alexandar Popovic
D
Alexandar Popovic
D
23
Rhyan Grant
D
Rhyan Grant
D
24
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
M
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler
M
8
Wataru Kamijo
M
Wataru Kamijo
M
7
P. Quispe
M
P. Quispe
M
20
Tiago Quintal
61'
M
Tiago Quintal
61'
M
44
Akol Akon
81'
M
Akol Akon
81'
M
80
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
77'
F
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
77'
F
Bench
70
Ahmet Arslan
34'
M
Ahmet Arslan
34'
M
13
P. Wood
1 ⚽
18'
F
P. Wood
1 ⚽
18'
F
Best on the pitch
P. Wood
F · Sydney
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Jordan Courtney-Perkins
D · Sydney
7.50
· 58 pass
Wataru Kamijo
M · Sydney
7.30
· 41 pass
G · Sydney
7.30
· 43 pass
Mata
M · Melbourne
7.20
1 shots
· 45 pass
P. Quispe
M · Sydney
7.00
· 40 pass
Melbourne Victory — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Franco Lino | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Jason Davidson | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Roderick | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rawlins | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordi Valadon | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Genreau | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Clarismario Rodrigues | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mata | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Nishan Velupillay | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Charles Nduka | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Keegan Jelacic | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. D'Arrigo | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Grimaldi | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Vergos | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Sydney — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Ben Garuccio | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordan Courtney-Perkins | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandar Popovic | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Rhyan Grant | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Wataru Kamijo | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 5 | 1 | — |
| P. Quispe | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Tiago Quintal | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Akol Akon | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Apostolos Stamatelopoulos | F | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ahmet Arslan | M | 34 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Wood | F | 18 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Sydney?
The final score was Melbourne Victory 0–1 Sydney.
What did the model predict before Melbourne Victory vs Sydney?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Melbourne Victory win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an Sydney win.