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← Primera RFEF - Group 1

Mérida AD - Athletic Club II

Primera RFEF - Group 1 November 08, 2026 18:15
Mérida AD
#12 · 13 pts
vs
Athletic Club II
#7 · 15 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.93%
Win
Mérida AD
27.01%
Draw
34.06%
Win
Athletic Club II
1.95
Expected xG
1.43

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.07%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 27%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 61%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mérida AD a 38% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Athletic Club II. Expected goals are 1.9 for Mérida AD and 1.4 for Athletic Club II (total 3.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.07% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Mérida AD have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Athletic Club II.

Season Stats

Mérida AD
5W 2D 8L
Athletic Club II
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
40%
O 2.5
73%
40%
BTTS
73%
27%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera RFEF - Group 1. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Mérida AD
3W 3D 4L · at home
Athletic Club II
2W 2D 6L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.1
1.8
Conceded
1.5
30%
Win %
20%
60%
Win or Draw
40%
80%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
60%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mérida AD Athletic Club II →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.6% 9.5% 6.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Mérida AD Mérida AD
L Lugo 2–1
D CD Coria 0–0
W Arenas Getxo 0–4
W Pontevedra 1–2
W Cacereño 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
W Cacereño 3–1
L Unionistas de Salamanca 2–1
L CD Coria 2–1
D Real Unión 0–0
L Extremadura 1924 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Mérida AD Mérida AD
Attack
46
Defence
65
Form
49
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
Attack
43
Defence
65
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Mérida AD
1
Draw
1
Athletic Club II
20 Mar 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1 1–1
19 Dec 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1 2–3

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Lugo Lugo 11 28
2 UD Logroñés UD Logroñés 10 20
3 Real Avilés Real Avilés 11 17
4 Mirandes Mirandes 10 17
5 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 10 17
6 Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924 11 16
7 Athletic Club II Athletic Club II 10 15
8 Pontevedra Pontevedra 10 15
9 Cacereño Cacereño 11 15
10 Ponferradina Ponferradina 10 14
11 Real Unión Real Unión 10 13
12 Mérida AD Mérida AD 10 13
13 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 10 12
14 Zamora Zamora 10 12
15 Barakaldo Barakaldo 10 11
16 Deportivo La Coruña II Deportivo La Coruña II 10 11
17 Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca 10 10
18 CD Coria CD Coria 10 9
19 UD Ourense UD Ourense 10 8
20 Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo 10 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
The model gives Mérida AD a 38% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 34% for an Athletic Club II win.
How many goals are expected in Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
Expected goals: Mérida AD 1.9, Athletic Club II 1.4 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.07%.