Primera RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 5
September 27, 2026 18:15
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave UD Logroñés a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Mérida AD 28%). The final result was Mérida AD 3–5 UD Logroñés.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
28.95%
Mérida
27.69%
X
43.35%
UD ←
we assigned to the actual result (UD Logroñés)
43.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
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2.72
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Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés?
The final score was Mérida AD 3–5 UD Logroñés.
What did the model predict before Mérida AD vs UD Logroñés?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Mérida AD win, 27% to a draw, and 43% to an UD Logroñés win.