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#10 · 12 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#11 · 11 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Merthyr Town a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Chorley 33%). The final result was Merthyr Town 1–1 Chorley. In 2 previous meetings, Merthyr Town have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chorley.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
35.46%
Merthyr
30.94%
X ←
33.6%
Chorley
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.94% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Merthyr
1.28
Chorley
1.18
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hereford Hereford 8 19
2 Macclesfield Macclesfield 8 17
3 South Shields South Shields 7 17
4 Oxford City Oxford City 8 16
5 Bedford Town Bedford Town 8 15
6 Spalding United Spalding United 8 14
7 Chester Chester 8 14
8 Hebburn Town Hebburn Town 8 14
9 Buxton Buxton 8 13
10 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 8 12
11 Chorley Chorley 8 11
12 Harborough Town Harborough Town 8 11
13 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 8 10
14 Morecambe Morecambe 8 10
15 King's Lynn Town King's Lynn Town 8 10
16 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 8 9
17 Worksop Town Worksop Town 8 9
18 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 8 8
19 Southport Southport 8 8
20 Brackley Town Brackley Town 7 8
21 Marine Marine 8 6
22 Radcliffe Radcliffe 8 6
23 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 8 6
24 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 8 5
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Chorley?
The final score was Merthyr Town 1–1 Chorley.
What did the model predict before Merthyr Town vs Chorley?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Merthyr Town win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Chorley win.