Premier League
· Regular Season - 28
May 12, 2026 17:00
B. Zabergja
(ast. S. Castillo)
41'
P. Itodo
(ast. S. Castillo)
65'
52'
(ast. V. Rubchynskyi)
A. Chachua
(pen.)
59'
A. Chachua
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Karpaty a 37% win probability (draw 34%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 27%). The final result was Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2–2 Karpaty. In 1 previous meetings, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karpaty.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
1.23
Actual xG
1.65
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
/ V. Churko
17'
Y. Pavlyuk
27'
⚽B. Zabergja
· ast. S. Castillo
41'
B. Zabergja
45'
P. Itodo
49'
49'
T. Stetskov
52'
ast. V. Rubchynskyi ·
A. Chachua⚽
59'
(pen.)
A. Chachua⚽
I. Kaliuzhnyi
59'
⚽P. Itodo
· ast. S. Castillo
65'
70'
Y. Kostenko
71'
Eriki
/
Y. Karabin
71'
A. Buleza
/
Edson Fernando
E. Rashica
/ Ari Moura
75'
B. Zabergja
/ D. Antyukh
75'
80'
A. Shakh
/
V. Rubchynskyi
80'
I. Kvasnytsya
/
X. Alkain
V. Churko
/ I. Kogut
87'
S. Castillo
/ C. Mba
87'
I. Krupskyi
87'
90'
D. Miroshnichenko
/
Y. Kostenko
Pre-match prediction
27.69%
Metalist
34.72%
X ←
37.58%
Karpaty
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
34.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.23
+0.33
1.26
1.65
+0.39
Karpaty dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
30
Danylo Varakuta
G
27
Illia Krupskyi
D
31
Artem Shabanov
D
18
Evgen Pavlyuk
D
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
D
5
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
M
19
Ermir Rashica
M
16
Nicolas Arevalo
M
8
Sebastian Castillo
2 👟
F
26
Baton Zabergja
1 ⚽
M
98
Peter Itodo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
7
Ari Moura
M
77
Cauan Baptistella
M
99
Christian Mba
F
15
Denys Antiukh
M
17
Igor Kogut
M
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
M
24
Oleksandr Martinyuk
D
14
Ramik Gadzhyev
M
37
Valery Dubko
D
45
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
M
11
Vyacheslav Churko
M
23
Yaroslav Protsenko
G
1
Nazar Domchak
G
73
Rostyslav Liakh
D
55
Timur Stetskov
D
4
Vladislav Baboglo
D
77
Oleksiy Sych
D
15
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
1 👟
M
35
Edson Fernando
M
8
Ambrosiy Chachua
2 ⚽
M
26
Yan Kostenko
M
19
Yaroslav Karabin
M
70
Xeber Alkain
M
Bench
5
Andrii Buleza
D
30
Andriy Klishchuk
G
11
Denis Miroshnichenko
D
18
Eriki
M
14
Ilya Kvasnytsya
M
28
Oleksandr Diedov Yevheniiovych
F
80
Roman Mysak
G
33
Shakh Artur
M
56
Vladyslav Reznik
M
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danylo Varakuta | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Illia Krupskyi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Shabanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evgen Pavlyuk | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Volodymyr Salyuk | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Kalyuzhnyi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ermir Rashica | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Arevalo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Castillo | F | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baton Zabergja | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Itodo | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Karpaty — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazar Domchak | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rostyslav Liakh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timur Stetskov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vladislav Baboglo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksiy Sych | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentyn Rubchynskyi | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edson Fernando | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ambrosiy Chachua | M | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yan Kostenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaroslav Karabin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xeber Alkain | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty?
The final score was Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2–2 Karpaty.
What did the model predict before Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Karpaty?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win, 34% to a draw, and 37% to an Karpaty win.