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Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv

Persha Liga May 15, 2026 12:30
Metalurh Zaporizhya
#16 · 18 pts
vs
Chernihiv
#12 · 30 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
21.0%
Win
Metalurh Zaporizhya
26.75%
Draw
52.24%
Win
Chernihiv
0.71
Expected xG
1.46

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chernihiv a 52% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Metalurh Zaporizhya. Expected goals are 0.7 for Metalurh Zaporizhya and 1.5 for Chernihiv (total 2.2), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Metalurh Zaporizhya have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chernihiv.

Score Matrix
↕ Metalurh Zaporizhya Chernihiv →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5% 16.7% 12.1% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya
W Prykarpattia 0–1
L Viktoriya Mykolaivka 0–3
L Probiy Horodenka 3–1
L Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1–6
D Inhulets 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
Chernihiv Chernihiv
D Chornomorets 2–2
W UCSA 0–2
L Vorskla Poltava 1–2
D Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0–0
W Nyva Ternopil 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 40%
Playing profile
Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya
Attack
21
Defence
56
Form
28
Chernihiv Chernihiv
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1
Draw
0
Chernihiv
D 15 Dec 2025 Persha Liga 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bukovyna Bukovyna 27 75
2 Chornomorets Chornomorets 27 58
3 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 27 56
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk 27 46
5 Inhulets Inhulets 27 42
6 Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka 27 36
7 UCSA UCSA 27 33
8 Prykarpattia Prykarpattia 27 32
9 Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka 27 32
10 Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol' 27 31
11 Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil 27 30
12 Chernihiv Chernihiv 26 30
13 Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv 26 30
14 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 27 27
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi 27 19
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya 27 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Chernihiv?
The model gives Metalurh Zaporizhya a 21% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 52% for an Chernihiv win.
How many goals are expected in Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Chernihiv?
Expected goals: Metalurh Zaporizhya 0.7, Chernihiv 1.5 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Chernihiv?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.7%.