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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00
Metz
0 – 4
Final score
Lorient
#9 · 5 pts
24' (ast. A. Kouassi) J. Makengo
84' (ast. P. Pagis) B. Dieng
90'+7 (ast. P. Pagis) A. Avom
90'+8 N. Cadiou
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Metz 27%). The final result was Metz 0–4 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.89
3
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Sane
9'
15'
A. Faye
G. Tsitaishvili
23'
24'
ast. A. Kouassi · J. Makengo⚽
↕ N. Mbala / G. Abuashvili
40'
42'
J. Makengo
62'
P. Pagis / D. Karim ↕
62'
I. Toure / A. Faye ↕
↕ G. Kvilitaia / H. Diallo
64'
↕ K. Kouao / B. Stambouli
65'
74'
B. Dieng / A. Tosin ↕
74'
A. Avom / J. Makengo ↕
↕ J. Gbamin / B. Munongo
76'
84'
ast. P. Pagis · B. Dieng⚽
90'+5
Igor Silva / P. Katseris ↕
90'+7
ast. P. Pagis · A. Avom⚽
90'+8
N. Cadiou⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.23%
Metz
28.64%
X
44.13%
Lorient ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lorient) 44.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Metz
1.37
0.45
-0.92
Lorient
1.72
1.89
+0.17
Lorient dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lille Lille 4 10
2 Monaco Monaco 4 10
3 Rennes Rennes 4 10
4 Lyon Lyon 4 8
5 Paris FC Paris FC 4 8
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4 5
8 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 4 5
9 Lorient Lorient 4 5
10 Lens Lens 4 4
11 Angers Angers 4 4
12 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 4 4
13 Marseille Marseille 4 3
14 Le Mans Le Mans 4 3
15 Auxerre Auxerre 4 3
16 Le Havre Le Havre 4 2
17 Toulouse Toulouse 4 2
18 Nice Nice 4 2
Lineups
Metz Metz 4-2-3-1
61 P. Sy P. Sy G 6.00
70 B. Sarr B. Sarr D 6.20
15 T. Yegbe T. Yegbe D 6.50
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 6.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao 65' D 6.60
5
J. Gbamin 76' M 7.00
20 J. Deminguet J. Deminguet M 6.20
7 G. Tsitaishvili G. Tsitaishvili M 6.50
10 G. Hein G. Hein M 6.30
34 N. Mbala N. Mbala 40' M 6.50
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia 64' F 7.00
Bench
12 Alpha Touré Alpha Touré M
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 25' M 6.50
33 B. Munongo B. Munongo 14' M 6.20
97 Fodé Ballo-Touré Fodé Ballo-Touré D
9 G. Abuashvili G. Abuashvili 50' F 6.50
30 H. Diallo H. Diallo 26' F 6.30
1 J. Fischer J. Fischer G
2 M. Colin M. Colin D
4 U. Mboula U. Mboula D
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38 Y. Mvogo Y. Mvogo G 7.90
25 A. Faye A. Faye 62' D 6.90
3 M. Talbi M. Talbi D 7.50
32 N. Adjei N. Adjei D 7.20
43 K. Kouassi K. Kouassi 1 👟 M 7.30
6 Laurent Abergel Laurent Abergel M 6.90
8 N. Cadiou N. Cadiou 1 ⚽ M 8.30
77 P. Katseris P. Katseris 89' M 6.30
29 D. Karim D. Karim 62' F 6.70
17 J. Makengo J. Makengo 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.00
15 A. Tosin A. Tosin 74' F 6.30
Bench
62 A. Avom A. Avom 1 ⚽ 16' M 7.60
12 B. Dieng B. Dieng 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.70
21 B. Kamara B. Kamara G
2 Igor Silva Igor Silva 1' D
19 Isaac Monnier Isaac Monnier D
9 Mohamed Bamba Mohamed Bamba F
10 P. Pagis P. Pagis 2 👟 28' F 7.00
28 S. Soumano S. Soumano F
95 S. Touré S. Touré 28' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
N. Cadiou
N. Cadiou
M · Lorient
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
J. Makengo
J. Makengo
F · Lorient
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Y. Mvogo
Y. Mvogo
G · Lorient
7.90
· 32 pass
B. Dieng
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 2 pass
A. Avom
A. Avom
M · Lorient
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
M. Talbi
M. Talbi
D · Lorient
7.50
· 44 pass
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Sy G 90 6.00 — — — 22 17% — — —
B. Sarr D 90 6.20 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
T. Yegbe D 90 6.50 — — 1 69 67% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 6.20 — — — 88 82% 1 1 —
K. Kouao D 65 6.60 — — — 50 48% 2 — —
J. Gbamin M 76 7.00 — — — 61 54% 1 — —
J. Deminguet M 90 6.20 — — — 40 33% — — —
G. Tsitaishvili M 90 6.50 — — — 33 29% — 1 —
G. Hein M 90 6.30 — — 1 55 47% — — —
N. Mbala M 40 6.50 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 64 7.00 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 25 6.50 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
B. Munongo M 14 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
G. Abuashvili F 50 6.50 — — — 24 23% — — —
H. Diallo F 26 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Mvogo G 90 7.90 — — — 32 29% — — —
A. Faye D 62 6.90 — — — 37 35% 2 1 —
M. Talbi D 90 7.50 — — — 44 41% — — —
N. Adjei D 90 7.20 — — — 31 29% 2 — —
K. Kouassi M 90 7.30 — 1 1 32 28% — — —
Laurent Abergel M 90 6.90 — — 1 78 65% 1 — —
N. Cadiou M 90 8.30 1 — 1 68 60% — — —
P. Katseris M 89 6.30 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
D. Karim F 62 6.70 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
J. Makengo F 74 8.00 1 — 3 21 18% 2 1 —
A. Tosin F 74 6.30 — — 2 9 7% — — —
A. Avom M 16 7.60 1 — 1 16 13% — — —
B. Dieng F 16 7.70 1 — 3 2 1% — — —
Igor Silva D 1 — — — — 4 3% — — —
P. Pagis F 28 7.00 — 2 — 18 15% — — —
S. Touré D 28 6.90 — — — 19 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Lorient?
The final score was Metz 0–4 Lorient.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Lorient?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metz win, 28% to a draw, and 44% to an Lorient win.