← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33 May 10, 2026 21:00
Metz
#18 · 16 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Lorient
#9 · 45 pts
24' (ast. A. Kouassi) J. Makengo
84' (ast. P. Pagis) B. Dieng
90'+7 (ast. P. Pagis) A. Avom
90'+8 N. Cadiou

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Metz 27%). The final result was Metz 0–4 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.89
3
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Sane
9'
15'
A. Faye
G. Tsitaishvili
23'
24'
ast. A. Kouassi · J. Makengo⚽
↕ N. Mbala / G. Abuashvili
40'
42'
J. Makengo
62'
P. Pagis / D. Karim ↕
62'
I. Toure / A. Faye ↕
↕ G. Kvilitaia / H. Diallo
64'
↕ K. Kouao / B. Stambouli
65'
74'
B. Dieng / A. Tosin ↕
74'
A. Avom / J. Makengo ↕
↕ J. Gbamin / B. Munongo
76'
84'
ast. P. Pagis · B. Dieng⚽
90'+5
Igor Silva / P. Katseris ↕
90'+7
ast. P. Pagis · A. Avom⚽
90'+8
N. Cadiou⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.23%
Metz
28.64%
X
44.13%
Lorient ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lorient) 44.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Metz
1.37
0.45
-0.92
Lorient
1.72
1.89
+0.17
Lorient dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Metz Metz 4-2-3-1
61 Pape Sy Pape Sy G 6.00
70 Bouna Sarr Bouna Sarr D 6.20
15 Terry Yegbe Terry Yegbe D 6.50
38 Sadibou Sané Sadibou Sané D 6.20
39 K. Kouao K. Kouao 65' D 6.60
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin Jean-Philippe Gbamin 76' M 7.00
20 Jessy Deminguet Jessy Deminguet M 6.20
7 Giorgi Tsitaishvili Giorgi Tsitaishvili M 6.50
10 G. Hein G. Hein M 6.30
34 Nathan Mbala Nathan Mbala 40' M 6.50
11 Giorgi Kvilitaia Giorgi Kvilitaia 64' F 7.00
Bench
12 Alpha Touré Alpha Touré M
33 Believe Munongo Believe Munongo 14' M 6.20
21 Benjamin Stambouli Benjamin Stambouli 25' M 6.50
97 Fodé Ballo-Touré Fodé Ballo-Touré D
9 Giorgi Abuashvili Giorgi Abuashvili 50' F 6.50
30 Habibou Diallo Habibou Diallo 26' F 6.30
1 Jonathan Fischer Jonathan Fischer G
2 Maxime Colin Maxime Colin D
4 Urie-Michel Mboula Urie-Michel Mboula D
Lorient Lorient 3-4-2-1
38 Yvon Mvogo Yvon Mvogo G 7.90
25 Abdoulaye Faye Abdoulaye Faye 62' D 6.90
3 Montassar Talbi Montassar Talbi D 7.50
32 Nathaniel Adjei Nathaniel Adjei D 7.20
43 Arsène Kouassi Arsène Kouassi 1 👟 M 7.30
6 Laurent Abergel Laurent Abergel M 6.90
8 Noah Cadiou Noah Cadiou 1 ⚽ M 8.30
77 Panos Katseris Panos Katseris 89' M 6.30
29 Karim Dermane Karim Dermane 62' F 6.70
17 Jean Victor Makengo Jean Victor Makengo 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.00
15 Aiyegun Tosin Aiyegun Tosin 74' F 6.30
Bench
62 Arthur Avom Ebong Arthur Avom Ebong 1 ⚽ 16' M 7.60
12 B. Dieng B. Dieng 1 ⚽ 16' F 7.70
21 Bingourou Kamara Bingourou Kamara G
2 Igor Silva Igor Silva 1' D
19 Isaac Monnier Isaac Monnier D
9 Mohamed Bamba Mohamed Bamba F
10 P. Pagis P. Pagis 2 👟 28' F 7.00
28 Sambou Soumano Sambou Soumano F
95 Souleymane Isaak Touré Souleymane Isaak Touré 28' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
Noah Cadiou
Noah Cadiou
M · Lorient
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 68 pass
Jean Victor Makengo
Jean Victor Makengo
F · Lorient
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
Yvon Mvogo
Yvon Mvogo
G · Lorient
7.90
· 32 pass
B. Dieng
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 2 pass
Arthur Avom Ebong
Arthur Avom Ebong
M · Lorient
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Montassar Talbi
Montassar Talbi
D · Lorient
7.50
· 44 pass
Metz Metz — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pape Sy G 90 6.00 — — — 22 17% — — —
Bouna Sarr D 90 6.20 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
Terry Yegbe D 90 6.50 — — 1 69 67% — — —
Sadibou Sané D 90 6.20 — — — 88 82% 1 1 —
K. Kouao D 65 6.60 — — — 50 48% 2 — —
Jean-Philippe Gbamin M 76 7.00 — — — 61 54% 1 — —
Jessy Deminguet M 90 6.20 — — — 40 33% — — —
Giorgi Tsitaishvili M 90 6.50 — — — 33 29% — 1 —
G. Hein M 90 6.30 — — 1 55 47% — — —
Nathan Mbala M 40 6.50 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
Giorgi Kvilitaia F 64 7.00 — — 1 11 8% 1 — —
Believe Munongo M 14 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Benjamin Stambouli M 25 6.50 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Giorgi Abuashvili F 50 6.50 — — — 24 23% — — —
Habibou Diallo F 26 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Lorient Lorient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yvon Mvogo G 90 7.90 — — — 32 29% — — —
Abdoulaye Faye D 62 6.90 — — — 37 35% 2 1 —
Montassar Talbi D 90 7.50 — — — 44 41% — — —
Nathaniel Adjei D 90 7.20 — — — 31 29% 2 — —
Arsène Kouassi M 90 7.30 — 1 1 32 28% — — —
Laurent Abergel M 90 6.90 — — 1 78 65% 1 — —
Noah Cadiou M 90 8.30 1 — 1 68 60% — — —
Panos Katseris M 89 6.30 — — — 31 24% 1 — —
Karim Dermane F 62 6.70 — — — 22 16% 2 — —
Jean Victor Makengo F 74 8.00 1 — 3 21 18% 2 1 —
Aiyegun Tosin F 74 6.30 — — 2 9 7% — — —
Arthur Avom Ebong M 16 7.60 1 — 1 16 13% — — —
B. Dieng F 16 7.70 1 — 3 2 1% — — —
Igor Silva D 1 — — — — 4 3% — — —
P. Pagis F 28 7.00 — 2 — 18 15% — — —
Souleymane Isaak Touré D 28 6.90 — — — 19 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Lorient?
The final score was Metz 0–4 Lorient.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Lorient?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metz win, 28% to a draw, and 44% to an Lorient win.