Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 33
May 10, 2026 21:00
24'
(ast. A. Kouassi)
J. Makengo
84'
(ast. P. Pagis)
B. Dieng
90'+7
(ast. P. Pagis)
A. Avom
90'+8
N. Cadiou
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lorient a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Metz 27%). The final result was Metz 0–4 Lorient. In 1 previous meetings, Metz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lorient.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
0.45
Actual xG
1.89
3
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
4
9
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
S. Sane
9'
15'
A. Faye
G. Tsitaishvili
23'
24'
ast. A. Kouassi ·
J. Makengo⚽
N. Mbala
/ G. Abuashvili
40'
42'
J. Makengo
62'
P. Pagis
/
D. Karim
62'
I. Toure
/
A. Faye
G. Kvilitaia
/ H. Diallo
64'
K. Kouao
/ B. Stambouli
65'
74'
B. Dieng
/
A. Tosin
74'
A. Avom
/
J. Makengo
J. Gbamin
/ B. Munongo
76'
84'
ast. P. Pagis ·
B. Dieng⚽
90'+5
Igor Silva
/
P. Katseris
90'+7
ast. P. Pagis ·
A. Avom⚽
90'+8
N. Cadiou⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.23%
Metz
28.64%
X
44.13%
Lorient ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lorient)
44.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.45
-0.92
1.72
1.89
+0.17
Lorient dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
61
Pape Sy
G
Pape Sy
G
70
Bouna Sarr
D
Bouna Sarr
D
15
Terry Yegbe
D
Terry Yegbe
D
38
Sadibou Sané
D
Sadibou Sané
D
39
K. Kouao
65'
D
K. Kouao
65'
D
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
76'
M
20
Jessy Deminguet
M
Jessy Deminguet
M
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
M
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
M
10
G. Hein
M
G. Hein
M
34
Nathan Mbala
40'
M
Nathan Mbala
40'
M
11
Giorgi Kvilitaia
64'
F
Bench
12
Alpha Touré
M
Alpha Touré
M
33
Believe Munongo
14'
M
Believe Munongo
14'
M
21
Benjamin Stambouli
25'
M
Benjamin Stambouli
25'
M
97
Fodé Ballo-Touré
D
Fodé Ballo-Touré
D
9
Giorgi Abuashvili
50'
F
Giorgi Abuashvili
50'
F
30
Habibou Diallo
26'
F
Habibou Diallo
26'
F
1
Jonathan Fischer
G
Jonathan Fischer
G
2
Maxime Colin
D
Maxime Colin
D
4
Urie-Michel Mboula
D
Urie-Michel Mboula
D
38
Yvon Mvogo
G
Yvon Mvogo
G
25
A. Faye
62'
D
A. Faye
62'
D
3
M. Talbi
D
M. Talbi
D
32
Nathaniel Adjei
D
Nathaniel Adjei
D
43
K. Kouassi
1 👟
M
K. Kouassi
1 👟
M
6
Laurent Abergel
M
Laurent Abergel
M
8
Noah Cadiou
1 ⚽
M
Noah Cadiou
1 ⚽
M
77
Panos Katseris
89'
M
Panos Katseris
89'
M
29
Karim Dermane
62'
F
Karim Dermane
62'
F
17
Jean Victor Makengo
1 ⚽
74'
F
Jean Victor Makengo
1 ⚽
74'
F
15
Aiyegun Tosin
74'
F
Aiyegun Tosin
74'
F
Bench
62
Arthur Avom Ebong
1 ⚽
16'
M
Arthur Avom Ebong
1 ⚽
16'
M
12
B. Dieng
1 ⚽
16'
F
B. Dieng
1 ⚽
16'
F
21
Bingourou Kamara
G
Bingourou Kamara
G
2
Igor Silva
1'
D
Igor Silva
1'
D
19
Isaac Monnier
D
Isaac Monnier
D
9
Mohamed Bamba
F
Mohamed Bamba
F
10
P. Pagis
2 👟
28'
F
P. Pagis
2 👟
28'
F
28
Sambou Soumano
F
Sambou Soumano
F
95
Souleymane Isaak Touré
28'
D
Souleymane Isaak Touré
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Noah Cadiou
M · Lorient
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 68 pass
Jean Victor Makengo
F · Lorient
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Yvon Mvogo
G · Lorient
7.90
· 32 pass
B. Dieng
F · Lorient
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 2 pass
Arthur Avom Ebong
M · Lorient
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
M. Talbi
D · Lorient
7.50
· 44 pass
Metz — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pape Sy | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Bouna Sarr | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Terry Yegbe | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 88 | 82% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Kouao | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 50 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Gbamin | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Jessy Deminguet | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Hein | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Mbala | M | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Giorgi Kvilitaia | F | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Believe Munongo | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Stambouli | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgi Abuashvili | F | 50 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Habibou Diallo | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Lorient — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yvon Mvogo | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Faye | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Talbi | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Adjei | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kouassi | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Laurent Abergel | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Noah Cadiou | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 68 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Panos Katseris | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Karim Dermane | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Victor Makengo | F | 74 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Aiyegun Tosin | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Avom Ebong | M | 16 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| B. Dieng | F | 16 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Igor Silva | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Pagis | F | 28 | 7.00 | — | 2 | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Isaak Touré | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Metz vs Lorient?
The final score was Metz 0–4 Lorient.
What did the model predict before Metz vs Lorient?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Metz win, 28% to a draw, and 44% to an Lorient win.