Mexico - Chile
Friendlies Internazionali
October 06, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.61%
Win
Mexico
28.77%
Draw
27.62%
Win
Chile
2.48
0.78
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.11%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
29%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
56%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mexico a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Chile. Expected goals are 2.5 for Mexico and 0.8 for Chile (total 3.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.11% probability.
Season Stats
6W
2D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.5
0.2
Conceded
1.5
4.4
Shots OT
3.5
4.4
Corners
2.5
54%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
100%
25%
BTTS
100%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
4W
2D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
2.2
gls/g
1.5
0.3
Conceded
1.5
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Mexico
Chile →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mexico
Attack
48
Defence
89
Form
74
Chile
Attack
36
Defence
50
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mexico vs Chile?
The model gives Mexico a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 27% for an Chile win.
How many goals are expected in Mexico vs Chile?
Expected goals: Mexico 2.5, Chile 0.8 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mexico vs Chile?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.11%.