Mexico - Colombia
Friendlies Internazionali
September 26, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.96%
Win
Mexico
27.68%
Draw
28.36%
Win
Colombia
1.8
1.08
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(10.98%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
28%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
56%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mexico a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Colombia. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mexico and 1.1 for Colombia (total 2.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 10.98% probability.
Season Stats
6W
2D
0L
2W
0D
2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.8
0.2
Conceded
1.5
4.4
Shots OT
3.3
4.4
Corners
3.5
54%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
75%
75%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Mexico
Colombia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mexico
Attack
48
Defence
89
Form
74
Colombia
Attack
40
Defence
74
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Colombia
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mexico vs Colombia?
The model gives Mexico a 43% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 28% for an Colombia win.
How many goals are expected in Mexico vs Colombia?
Expected goals: Mexico 1.8, Colombia 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Mexico vs Colombia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.98%.