Mexico - Jamaica
CONCACAF Nations League
November 17, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.44%
Win
Mexico
44.76%
Draw
21.8%
Win
Jamaica
0.59
0.43
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(35.42%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
33%
X
45%
2
22%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
78%
X2
67%
12
55%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
43%
Over 2.5
9%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mexico a 33% win probability, against 44% for a draw and 21% for Jamaica. Expected goals are 0.6 for Mexico and 0.4 for Jamaica (total 1.0), with a 43% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 35.42% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Mexico have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Jamaica.
Score Matrix
↕ Mexico
Jamaica →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35.9% | 15.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 2 | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Mexico
Attack
27
Defence
69
Form
48
Jamaica
Attack
29
Defence
66
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
23 Jun 2024
1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mexico vs Jamaica?
The model gives Mexico a 33% win probability, 44% for a draw, and 21% for an Jamaica win.
How many goals are expected in Mexico vs Jamaica?
Expected goals: Mexico 0.6, Jamaica 0.4 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 43%.
What is the most likely score in Mexico vs Jamaica?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 35.42%.