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← Friendlies Internazionali

Mexico - Peru

Friendlies Internazionali September 29, 2026 22:00
Mexico
vs
Peru
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.31%
Win
Mexico
23.49%
Draw
21.21%
Win
Peru
2.62
Expected xG
0.73

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (10.88%)
1X2 Result
1 55%
X 23%
2 21%
Double Chance
1X 79%
X2 45%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mexico a 55% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Peru. Expected goals are 2.6 for Mexico and 0.7 for Peru (total 3.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 10.88% probability.

Season Stats

Mexico
6W 2D 0L
Peru
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.2
0.2
Conceded
2.0
4.4
Shots OT
3.0
4.4
Corners
4.7
54%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
75%
75%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 8 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Mexico
4W 2D 0L · at home
Peru
1W 0D 1L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
1.5
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
17%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mexico Peru →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% — —
1 9.2% 6.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 12.1% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% —
3 10.5% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% —
4 6.9% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 3.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Mexico Mexico
W Serbia 5–1
W Australia 1–0
W Ghana 2–0
D Belgium 1–1
D Portugal 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Peru Peru
L Spain 1–3
W Haiti 1–2
D Honduras 2–2
L Senegal 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Mexico Mexico
Attack
48
Defence
89
Form
74
Peru Peru
Attack
32
Defence
53
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mexico vs Peru?
The model gives Mexico a 55% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 21% for an Peru win.
How many goals are expected in Mexico vs Peru?
Expected goals: Mexico 2.6, Peru 0.7 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Mexico vs Peru?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.88%.