USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 24, 2026 01:00
J. Locadia
(ast. M. Romero)
20'
J. Locadia
(ast. M. Tunbridge)
29'
K. Adams
72'
(og)
J. Locadia
83'
41'
(ast. R. Serrano)
C. Donovan
82'
(ast. T. Davila)
T. Showunmi
89'
(ast. Q. Huerman)
C. Donovan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Miami FC a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Louisville City 32%). The final result was Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City. In 1 previous meetings, Miami FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Louisville City.
Match statistics
Match Events
A. Calfo
13'
⚽J. Locadia
· ast. M. Romero
20'
⚽J. Locadia
· ast. M. Tunbridge
29'
M. Romero
/ B. Bent
40'
41'
ast. R. Serrano ·
C. Donovan⚽
M. Tunbridge
/ T. Musto
46'
57'
A. McFadden
T. Musto
60'
65'
B. Niang
/
R. Serrano
R. Da Costa
/ G. Diaz
65'
65'
S. Gleadle
/
A. McFadden
⚽K. Adams
(og)
72'
73'
T. Showunmi
/
E. Davila
J. Sonora
/ M. Ndongo
73'
82'
ast. T. Davila ·
T. Showunmi⚽
⚽J. Locadia
83'
84'
Q. Huerman
/
E. Perez
84'
A. Dia
/
K. Adams
E. Room
86'
89'
ast. Q. Huerman ·
C. Donovan⚽
A. Milesi
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.05%
Miami ←
27.93%
X
32.03%
Louisville
we assigned to the actual result (Miami FC)
40.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
—
—
1.47
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Miami FC vs Louisville City?
The final score was Miami FC 4–3 Louisville City.
What did the model predict before Miami FC vs Louisville City?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Miami FC win, 27% to a draw, and 32% to an Louisville City win.