D. Fry
(ast. A. Browne)
26'
58'
(ast. M. Ivanovic)
J. Coburn
86'
(ast. B. Bannan)
J. Coburn
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Millwall 28%). The final result was Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall. In 1 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Millwall.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
3.04
Actual xG
0.79
4
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
17
Corners
6
11
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Riley McGree
13'
13'
Jake Cooper
⚽D. Fry
· ast. A. Browne
26'
58'
ast. M. Ivanovic ·
J. Coburn⚽
64'
B. Bannan
/
C. De Norre
M. Targett
/ A. Bangura
78'
85'
M. Langstaff
/
M. Ivanovic
86'
ast. B. Bannan ·
J. Coburn⚽
C. Brittain
/ J. Sarmiento
89'
90'+5
D. McNamara
/
F. Azeez
90'+5
L. Cundle
/
B. Mitchell
Pre-match prediction
46.45%
Middlesbrough
24.83%
X
28.72%
Millwall ←
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall)
28.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
3.04
+1.32
1.24
0.79
-0.45
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (3.04 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
6
Dael Fry
1 ⚽
D
Dael Fry
1 ⚽
D
29
Adilson Malanda
D
Adilson Malanda
D
12
Luke Ayling
D
Luke Ayling
D
3
Matt Targett
78'
M
Matt Targett
78'
M
18
Aidan Morris
M
Aidan Morris
M
16
Alan Browne
1 👟
M
Alan Browne
1 👟
M
2
Callum Brittain
89'
M
Callum Brittain
89'
M
9
T. Conway
F
T. Conway
F
8
Riley McGree
F
Riley McGree
F
13
David Strelec
F
Bench
24
A. Bangura
18'
D
14
Alexander Gilbert
F
Alexander Gilbert
F
15
Finley Munroe
D
Finley Munroe
D
45
Jeremy Sarmiento
7'
M
Jeremy Sarmiento
7'
M
13
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
D
Zak Norton Sturge
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
6
C. Taylor
D
4
D
24
Casper De Norre
64'
M
Casper De Norre
64'
M
8
Billy Mitchell
M
Billy Mitchell
M
11
O. Azeez
M
O. Azeez
M
10
Camiel Neghli
M
Camiel Neghli
M
19
Josh Coburn
2 ⚽
F
Josh Coburn
2 ⚽
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
1 👟
85'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
1 👟
85'
F
Bench
67
Barry Bannan
1 👟
32'
M
Barry Bannan
1 👟
32'
M
2
Danny McNamara
1'
D
Danny McNamara
1'
D
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M
23
J. Bryan
D
J. Bryan
D
25
Luke Cundle
1'
M
Luke Cundle
1'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
11'
F
Macaulay Langstaff
11'
F
7
Thierno Ballo
F
Thierno Ballo
F
Best on the pitch
Josh Coburn
F · Millwall
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
T. Conway
F · Middlesbrough
7.90
· 26 pass
Zak Norton Sturge
D · Millwall
7.70
· 19 pass
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.70
· 35 pass
Aidan Morris
M · Middlesbrough
7.60
· 48 pass
Luke Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.30
2 shots
· 56 pass
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Dael Fry | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 51 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Adilson Malanda | D | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Luke Ayling | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Targett | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Aidan Morris | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Browne | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Callum Brittain | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Conway | F | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Riley McGree | F | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| David Strelec | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Bangura | D | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Sarmiento | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| Casper De Norre | M | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Billy Mitchell | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| O. Azeez | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 96 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 85 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Barry Bannan | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Danny McNamara | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
The final score was Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an Millwall win.