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Championship · Regular Season - 6 September 15, 2026 20:45 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
#1 · 25 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Millwall
#13 · 15 pts
Amario Cozier-Duberry 50'
will lankshear (ast. Luke Ayling) 61'
11' (ast. Camiel Neghli) Taïryk Arconte
36' (ast. Caleb Taylor) Lyndon Dykes
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 42% win probability (draw 30%, Millwall 26%). The final result was Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall. In 2 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
5
80%
Possession
20%
14
Corners
1
5
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
ast. Camiel Neghli · Taïryk Arconte⚽
36'
ast. Caleb Taylor · Lyndon Dykes⚽
↕ Sebastian Berhalter / Kyle Joseph
45'
↕ Neto Borges / Max Arfsten
45'
↕ Tommy Conway / Jeremy Sarmiento
45'
⚽Amario Cozier-Duberry
50'
56'
Elkan Baggott / Lyndon Dykes ↕
59'
Derek Mazou Sacko
⚽will lankshear · ast. Luke Ayling
61'
Riley McGree
66'
75'
D. Kelly / Jenson Metcalfe ↕
75'
Zakariya Lovelace / Taïryk Arconte ↕
↕ Riley McGree / Myles Peart-Harris
78'
84'
Luke Cundle / Zak Sturge ↕
84'
Yanis Ali Issoufou / Mark Sykes ↕
↕ Amario Cozier-Duberry / David Strelec
85'
Pre-match prediction
42.94%
Middlesbrough
30.16%
X ←
26.9%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Middlesbrough
1.83
—
—
Millwall
1.03
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
1 R. Vítek R. Vítek G 6.16
30 Neto Borges Neto Borges 45' D 6.30
4 A. Phillips A. Phillips D 6.94
12 L. Ayling L. Ayling 1 👟 D 6.96
2 C. Brittain C. Brittain D 6.49
6 S. Berhalter S. Berhalter 45' M 6.95
10 A. Morris A. Morris M 7.20
9 T. Conway T. Conway 45' M 6.59
8 R. McGree R. McGree 78' M 6.58
11 A. Cozier-Duberry A. Cozier-Duberry 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20
7 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear 1 ⚽ F 7.98
Bench
13 D. Strelec D. Strelec 5' F 6.46
16 J. Sarmiento J. Sarmiento 45' F 6.85
22 K. Joseph K. Joseph 45' F 6.72
19 Leo Castledine Leo Castledine M 0.00
17 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten 45' D 6.39
14 M. Peart-Harris M. Peart-Harris 12' M 6.24
21 R. Pukštas R. Pukštas M 0.00
31 S. Brynn S. Brynn G 0.00
3 S. Byram S. Byram D 0.00
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe G 6.67
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge 84' D 6.93
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.59
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor 1 👟 D 6.82
2 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu D 6.23
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko M 6.44
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe 75' M 6.20
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli 1 👟 M 6.85
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes 1 ⚽ 56' M 7.51
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes 84' M 6.29
7 T. Arconte T. Arconte 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.61
Bench
44 Alfie Massey Alfie Massey M 0.00
23 D. Batth D. Batth D 0.00
16 D. Kelly D. Kelly 15' M 5.64
12 E. Baggott E. Baggott 34' D 6.02
34 F. Marschall F. Marschall G 0.00
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 6' M 6.05
35 Y. Issoufou Y. Issoufou 6' F 6.46
29 Z. Lovelace Z. Lovelace 15' F 6.40
Best on the pitch
A. Cozier-Duberry
A. Cozier-Duberry
M · Middlesbrough
8.20
1 ⚽
7 shots · 43 pass
W. Lankshear
W. Lankshear
F · Middlesbrough
7.98
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
T. Arconte
T. Arconte
F · Millwall
7.61
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
L. Dykes
L. Dykes
M · Millwall
7.51
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
A. Morris
A. Morris
M · Middlesbrough
7.20
3 shots · 108 pass
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
6.96
1 👟
1 shots · 78 pass
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Vítek G 90 6.16 — — 0 20 17% 0 — —
Neto Borges D 45 6.30 — — 1 50 48% 0 — —
A. Phillips D 90 6.94 — — 0 79 76% 1 — —
L. Ayling D 90 6.96 — 1 1 78 70% 0 — —
C. Brittain D 90 6.49 — — 1 63 56% 1 — —
S. Berhalter M 45 6.95 — — 0 28 26% 0 — —
A. Morris M 90 7.20 — — 3 108 100% 1 — —
T. Conway M 45 6.59 — — 1 22 21% 0 — —
R. McGree M 78 6.58 — — 2 55 52% 0 1 —
A. Cozier-Duberry M 85 8.20 1 — 7 43 38% 0 — —
W. Lankshear F 90 7.98 1 — 3 14 13% 0 — —
D. Strelec F 5 6.46 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
J. Sarmiento F 45 6.85 — — 2 22 22% 1 — —
K. Joseph F 45 6.72 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
M. Arfsten D 45 6.39 — — 0 41 39% 1 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 12 6.24 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crocombe G 90 6.67 — — 0 28 8% 0 — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 84 6.93 — — 1 11 9% 3 — —
J. Cooper D 90 6.59 — — 0 9 7% 4 — —
C. Taylor D 90 6.82 — 1 1 12 10% 3 — —
J. Osei-Tutu D 90 6.23 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 90 6.44 — — 1 7 4% 4 1 —
Jenson Metcalfe M 75 6.20 — — 0 16 13% 2 — —
C. Neghli M 90 6.85 — 1 2 15 11% 1 — —
L. Dykes M 56 7.51 1 — 2 10 4% 1 — —
M. Sykes M 84 6.29 — — 1 16 9% 2 — —
T. Arconte F 75 7.61 1 — 1 9 5% 0 — —
D. Kelly M 15 5.64 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
E. Baggott D 34 6.02 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
L. Cundle M 6 6.05 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
Y. Issoufou F 6 6.46 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Z. Lovelace F 15 6.40 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
The final score was Middlesbrough 2–2 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs Millwall?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 30% to a draw, and 26% to an Millwall win.