Championship · Regular Season - 44 April 22, 2026 20:45 Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

#6 · 10 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Sheffield Wednesday

✓Model correct — prediction Middlesbrough

M. Whittaker 11'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 82% win probability (draw 12%, Sheffield Wednesday 5%). The final result was Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday. In 1 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Wednesday.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

6

4

Shots on target

1

1.82

Actual xG

0.51

1

Saves

2

61%

Possession

39%

9

Corners

1

12

Tackles

19

2

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽M. Whittaker

11'

M. Whittaker

30'

51'

J. Thornton

A. Malanda

52'

↕ M. Whittaker / J. Sarmiento

60'

62'

N. Chalobah / M. Nakamba ↕

62'

J. Lowe / C. McNeill ↕

68'

W. Grainger / J. Thornton ↕

70'

M. Lowe

↕ T. Conway / M. K. Sene

78'

↕ D. Strelec / S. Silvera

78'

↕ M. Targett / A. Bangura

81'

83'

O. Kobacki / J. Yates ↕

Pre-match prediction

82.21%

Middlesbrough ←

12.43%

X

5.35%

Sheffield

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Middlesbrough) 82.21% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Middlesbrough

2.66

1.82

-0.84

Sheffield

0.45

0.51

+0.06

Middlesbrough dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.51). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	West Brom	7	14
3	QPR	7	12
4	Swansea	6	11
5	Charlton	6	11
6	Middlesbrough	5	10
7	Bristol City	5	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Millwall	5	9
10	Norwich	6	9
11	Sheffield Utd	6	9
12	Wolves	5	8
13	Watford	6	8
14	Southampton	6	7
15	Stoke City	6	7
16	Wrexham	7	7
17	Bolton	7	7
18	Portsmouth	5	6
19	Blackburn	6	5
20	Lincoln	5	5
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Burnley	6	3
24	Preston	6	3

Lineups

Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1

31

G 7.20

3 M. Targett 81' D 7.30

12 L. Ayling D 8.30

6 D. Fry D 7.70

2 C. Brittain D 8.50

29 A. Malanda M 6.90

18 A. Morris M 7.90

9 T. Conway 78' M 6.90

11 M. Whittaker 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.20

16 A. Browne M 6.90

13 D. Strelec 78' F 6.20

Bench

24

A. Bangura 9' D 6.70

45 J. Sarmiento 30' M 6.60

27 S. Hansen F

Sheffield Wednesday 3-5-2

13

G 6.90

3 Max Lowe D 6.20

22 G. Otegbayo D 7.00

2 L. Palmer D 6.70

45 Tayo Adaramola M 7.70

37 Jarvis Thornton 68' M 6.60

18 M. Nakamba 62' M 7.00

24 Jaden Heskey M 6.70

4 Sean Fusire M 6.60

12 J. Yates 83' F 6.60

17 Charlie McNeill 62' F 6.60

Bench

9 J. Lowe 28' F 6.50

14 N. Chalobah 28' M 6.50

19 O. Kobacki 15' F 6.20

31 W. Grainger 22' F 6.90

Best on the pitch

C. Brittain

D · Middlesbrough

8.50

· 73 pass

L. Ayling

D · Middlesbrough

8.30

1 shots · 88 pass

A. Morris

M · Middlesbrough

7.90

1 shots · 83 pass

D. Fry

D · Middlesbrough

7.70

2 shots · 70 pass

Tayo Adaramola

M · Sheffield

7.70

· 27 pass

M. Targett

D · Middlesbrough

7.30

1 shots · 58 pass

Middlesbrough — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	18	11%	—	—	—
M. Targett	D	81	7.30	—	—	1	58	50%	—	—	—
L. Ayling	D	90	8.30	—	—	1	88	78%	2	—	—
D. Fry	D	90	7.70	—	—	2	70	67%	—	—	—
C. Brittain	D	90	8.50	—	—	—	73	66%	2	—	—
A. Malanda	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	75	64%	1	1	—
A. Morris	M	90	7.90	—	—	1	83	73%	3	—	—
T. Conway	M	78	6.90	—	—	—	26	25%	2	—	—
M. Whittaker	M	60	7.20	1	—	3	18	13%	1	1	—
A. Browne	M	90	6.90	—	—	2	38	28%	—	—	—
D. Strelec	F	78	6.20	—	—	—	11	7%	—	—	—
A. Bangura	D	9	6.70	—	—	—	9	4%	—	—	—
J. Sarmiento	M	30	6.60	—	—	1	6	6%	1	—	—

Sheffield Wednesday — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	38	16%	—	—	—
Max Lowe	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	41	31%	1	1	—
G. Otegbayo	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	30	27%	4	—	—
L. Palmer	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	48	39%	1	—	—
Tayo Adaramola	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	27	23%	2	—	—
Jarvis Thornton	M	68	6.60	—	—	1	28	24%	1	1	—
M. Nakamba	M	62	7.00	—	—	—	25	24%	—	—	—
Jaden Heskey	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	40	33%	2	—	—
Sean Fusire	M	90	6.60	—	—	—	34	27%	3	—	—
J. Yates	F	83	6.60	—	—	—	13	10%	3	—	—
Charlie McNeill	F	62	6.60	—	—	2	14	12%	1	—	—
J. Lowe	F	28	6.50	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
N. Chalobah	M	28	6.50	—	—	1	8	6%	1	—	—
O. Kobacki	F	15	6.20	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
W. Grainger	F	22	6.90	—	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—