The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 45% win probability (draw 19%, Southampton 35%). The final result was Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton. In 3 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Southampton.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
0
1.82
Actual xG
0.53
0
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
11
Corners
1
11
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
55'
C. Larin
59'
F. Downes
60'
R. Stewart
/
C. Larin
R. McGree
/ A. Browne
68'
69'
K. Matsuki
/
T. Fellows
69'
S. Charles
/
F. Downes
M. Whittaker
/ J. Sarmiento
79'
D. Strelec
/ L. Castledine
79'
86'
S. Edozie
/
L. Scienza
Pre-match prediction
45.33%
Middlesbrough
19.63%
X ←
35.04%
Southampton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
1.82
-0.72
2.23
0.53
-1.7
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
29
A. Malanda
D
A. Malanda
D
6
D. Fry
D
D. Fry
D
12
L. Ayling
D
L. Ayling
D
3
M. Targett
M
M. Targett
M
8
R. McGree
68'
M
R. McGree
68'
M
18
A. Morris
M
A. Morris
M
2
C. Brittain
M
C. Brittain
M
9
T. Conway
F
T. Conway
F
11
M. Whittaker
79'
F
M. Whittaker
79'
F
13
D. Strelec
79'
F
D. Strelec
79'
F
Bench
16
A. Browne
22'
M
A. Browne
22'
M
14
A. Gilbert
F
45
J. Sarmiento
11'
M
J. Sarmiento
11'
M
27
Sontje Hansen
F
Sontje Hansen
F
41
G
3
R. Manning
D
R. Manning
D
15
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
14
J. Bree
D
J. Bree
D
4
F. Downes
69'
M
F. Downes
69'
M
20
C. Jander
M
C. Jander
M
13
Léo Scienza
86'
M
Léo Scienza
86'
M
10
F. Azaz
M
F. Azaz
M
18
T. Fellows
69'
M
T. Fellows
69'
M
9
C. Larin
60'
F
C. Larin
60'
F
Bench
48
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
19
C. Archer
F
C. Archer
F
27
K. Matsuki
21'
M
K. Matsuki
21'
M
11
R. Stewart
30'
F
R. Stewart
30'
F
24
S. Charles
21'
M
S. Charles
21'
M
23
S. Edozie
8'
M
S. Edozie
8'
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
Best on the pitch
G · Southampton
8.60
· 39 pass
M. Targett
M · Middlesbrough
8.20
2 shots
· 71 pass
J. Bree
D · Southampton
8.20
· 31 pass
T. Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
L. Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.90
2 shots
· 86 pass
A. Morris
M · Middlesbrough
7.70
1 shots
· 88 pass
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| A. Malanda | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 76% | — | — | — |
| D. Fry | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ayling | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Targett | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| R. McGree | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Morris | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Brittain | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Conway | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Whittaker | F | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Strelec | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Browne | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| J. Bree | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Jander | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Stewart | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| S. Edozie | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
The final score was Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 19% to a draw, and 35% to an Southampton win.