The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 45% win probability (draw 19%, Southampton 35%). The final result was Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton. In 3 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Southampton.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
0
1.82
Actual xG
0.53
0
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
11
Corners
1
11
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
55'
C. Larin
59'
F. Downes
60'
R. Stewart
/
C. Larin
R. McGree
/ A. Browne
68'
69'
K. Matsuki
/
T. Fellows
69'
S. Charles
/
F. Downes
M. Whittaker
/ J. Sarmiento
79'
D. Strelec
/ L. Castledine
79'
86'
S. Edozie
/
L. Scienza
Pre-match prediction
45.33%
Middlesbrough
19.63%
X ←
35.04%
Southampton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.54
1.82
-0.72
2.23
0.53
-1.7
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
29
Adilson Malanda
D
Adilson Malanda
D
6
Dael Fry
D
Dael Fry
D
12
Luke Ayling
D
Luke Ayling
D
3
Matt Targett
M
Matt Targett
M
8
Riley McGree
68'
M
Riley McGree
68'
M
18
Aidan Morris
M
Aidan Morris
M
2
Callum Brittain
M
Callum Brittain
M
9
T. Conway
F
T. Conway
F
11
M. Whittaker
79'
F
M. Whittaker
79'
F
13
David Strelec
79'
F
Bench
16
Alan Browne
22'
M
Alan Browne
22'
M
14
Alexander Gilbert
F
Alexander Gilbert
F
45
Jeremy Sarmiento
11'
M
Jeremy Sarmiento
11'
M
27
S. Hansen
F
S. Hansen
F
41
G
3
R. Manning
D
R. Manning
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
D
James Bree
D
4
F. Downes
69'
M
F. Downes
69'
M
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
13
Léo Scienza
86'
M
Léo Scienza
86'
M
10
F. Azaz
M
F. Azaz
M
18
T. Fellows
69'
M
T. Fellows
69'
M
9
Cyle Larin
60'
F
Cyle Larin
60'
F
Bench
19
Cameron Archer
F
Cameron Archer
F
48
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
27
K. Matsuki
21'
M
K. Matsuki
21'
M
11
Ross Stewart
30'
F
Ross Stewart
30'
F
23
Samuel Edozie
8'
M
Samuel Edozie
8'
M
24
Shea Charles
21'
M
Shea Charles
21'
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
Best on the pitch
G · Southampton
8.60
· 39 pass
Matt Targett
M · Middlesbrough
8.20
2 shots
· 71 pass
James Bree
D · Southampton
8.20
· 31 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
8.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
Luke Ayling
D · Middlesbrough
7.90
2 shots
· 86 pass
Aidan Morris
M · Middlesbrough
7.70
1 shots
· 88 pass
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Adilson Malanda | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 82 | 76% | — | — | — |
| Dael Fry | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Ayling | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Matt Targett | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Riley McGree | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Aidan Morris | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| Callum Brittain | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Conway | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Whittaker | F | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| David Strelec | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Alan Browne | M | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Sarmiento | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 40% | — | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
The final score was Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 19% to a draw, and 35% to an Southampton win.