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#1 · 25 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#5 · 21 pts
will lankshear 48'
will lankshear 73'
Alfie Jones (ast. Luke Ayling) 87'
65' (ast. Isaac Price) J. Morgan
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 35% win probability (draw 31%, West Brom 32%). The final result was Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom. In 2 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for West Brom.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
6
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Jeremy Sarmiento / Max Arfsten
40'
↕ Myles Peart-Harris / Sebastian Berhalter
45'
⚽will lankshear
48'
61'
Ousmane·Diakite
65'
ast. Isaac Price · J. Morgan⚽
↕ Riley McGree / Kyle Joseph
69'
↕ Morgan Whittaker / Alfie Jones
69'
70'
Rabby Nzingoula / Harry Whitwell ↕
⚽will lankshear
73'
77'
Aune Heggebo / Felix Horn Myhre ↕
77'
Kareem Tunde / Jayson Molumby ↕
↕ will lankshear / Tommy Conway
86'
86'
Barney Stewart / J. Morgan ↕
⚽Alfie Jones · ast. Luke Ayling
87'
Pre-match prediction
35.9%
Middlesbrough ←
31.98%
X
32.12%
West
we assigned to the actual result (Middlesbrough) 35.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Middlesbrough
1.72
—
—
West
1.54
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
1 R. Vítek R. Vítek G 6.56
30 Neto Borges Neto Borges D 6.90
29 A. Malanda A. Malanda D 7.10
12 L. Ayling L. Ayling 1 👟 D 6.92
2 C. Brittain C. Brittain D 7.08
14 M. Peart-Harris M. Peart-Harris 45' M 6.69
10 A. Morris A. Morris M 6.79
16 J. Sarmiento J. Sarmiento 40' M 6.49
8 R. McGree R. McGree 69' M 6.71
11 M. Whittaker M. Whittaker 69' M 6.25
7 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear 2 ⚽ 86' F 8.88
Bench
5 A. Jones A. Jones 1 ⚽ 21' D 7.63
4 A. Phillips A. Phillips D 0.00
13 D. Strelec D. Strelec F 0.00
22 K. Joseph K. Joseph 21' F 6.45
19 Leo Castledine Leo Castledine M 0.00
17 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten 50' D 6.99
6 S. Berhalter S. Berhalter 45' M 7.20
31 S. Brynn S. Brynn G 0.00
9 T. Conway T. Conway 4' F 6.63
West Brom West Brom 4-4-1-1
1 M. O’Leary M. O’Leary G 6.14
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 5.98
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 6.39
3 N. Phillips N. Phillips D 6.66
25 N. Galves N. Galves D 6.56
21 I. Price I. Price 1 👟 M 6.73
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité M 6.59
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby 77' M 6.79
29 Harry Whitwell Harry Whitwell 70' M 5.74
7 F. Myhre F. Myhre 77' M 5.60
11 J. Morgan J. Morgan 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.38
Bench
19 A. Heggebø A. Heggebø 13' F 6.30
28 Alex Williams Alex Williams D 0.00
9 B. Stewart B. Stewart 4' F 6.39
2 C. Mepham C. Mepham D 0.00
22 C. Townsend C. Townsend D 0.00
26 K. Tunde K. Tunde 13' F 6.49
13 M. Ingram M. Ingram G 0.00
20 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula 20' M 6.27
23 T. Bany T. Bany F 0.00
Best on the pitch
W. Lankshear
W. Lankshear
F · Middlesbrough
8.88
2 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
A. Jones
A. Jones
D · Middlesbrough
7.63
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
J. Morgan
J. Morgan
F · West
7.38
1 ⚽
1 shots · 29 pass
S. Berhalter
S. Berhalter
M · Middlesbrough
7.20
1 shots · 20 pass
A. Malanda
A. Malanda
D · Middlesbrough
7.10
1 shots · 79 pass
C. Brittain
C. Brittain
D · Middlesbrough
7.08
1 shots · 41 pass
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Vítek G 90 6.56 — — 0 24 18% 0 — —
Neto Borges D 90 6.90 — — 0 57 52% 0 — —
A. Malanda D 90 7.10 — — 1 79 75% 2 — —
L. Ayling D 90 6.92 — 1 1 71 60% 1 — —
C. Brittain D 90 7.08 — — 1 41 31% 4 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 45 6.69 — — 0 29 25% 1 — —
A. Morris M 90 6.79 — — 0 75 70% 1 — —
J. Sarmiento M 40 6.49 — — 0 10 9% 2 — —
R. McGree M 69 6.71 — — 2 28 24% 0 — —
M. Whittaker M 69 6.25 — — 1 24 21% 2 — —
W. Lankshear F 86 8.88 2 — 4 10 8% 0 — —
A. Jones D 21 7.63 1 — 1 22 20% 0 — —
K. Joseph F 21 6.45 — — 3 6 5% 0 — —
M. Arfsten D 50 6.99 — — 0 19 17% 3 — —
S. Berhalter M 45 7.20 — — 1 20 19% 1 — —
T. Conway F 4 6.63 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. O’Leary G 90 6.14 — — 0 49 36% 0 — —
C. Styles D 90 5.98 — — 1 66 62% 1 — —
G. Campbell D 90 6.39 — — 0 99 89% 2 — —
N. Phillips D 90 6.66 — — 0 65 63% 2 — —
N. Galves D 90 6.56 — — 0 32 31% 3 — —
I. Price M 90 6.73 — 1 4 62 51% 0 — —
O. Diakité M 90 6.59 — — 1 61 58% 2 1 —
J. Molumby M 77 6.79 — — 0 65 61% 0 — —
Harry Whitwell M 70 5.74 — — 1 23 17% 2 — —
F. Myhre M 77 5.60 — — 1 14 14% 0 — —
J. Morgan F 86 7.38 1 — 1 29 25% 0 — —
A. Heggebø F 13 6.30 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
B. Stewart F 4 6.39 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
K. Tunde F 13 6.49 — — 2 3 3% 0 — —
R. Nzingoula M 20 6.27 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs West Brom?
The final score was Middlesbrough 3–1 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs West Brom?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an West Brom win.