will lankshear
(ast. Tommy Conway)
57'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Wolves 30%). The final result was Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
2
1.00
Actual xG
0.60
2
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
22
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Sebastian Berhalter
11'
12'
Yacouba Nasser Djiga
Neto Borges
40'
51'
Rafiki Said Ahamada
/
Rodrigo Gomes
53'
Rafiki Said Ahamada
⚽will lankshear
· ast. Tommy Conway
57'
61'
Jordan James
/
Marshall Munetsi
61'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
/
Thomas Doyle
61'
Fer López
/
Mateus Mane
66'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Sebastian Berhalter
/ Luke Ayling
70'
Tommy Conway
/ Myles Peart-Harris
70'
Riley McGree
/ Jeremy Sarmiento
80'
82'
Sean Neave
/
André
will lankshear
/ Kyle Joseph
87'
Amario Cozier-Duberry
/ Max Arfsten
87'
Myles Peart-Harris
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
41.14%
Middlesbrough ←
28.78%
X
30.07%
Wolves
we assigned to the actual result (Middlesbrough)
41.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.00
-0.98
1.42
0.60
-0.82
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Vítek
G
R. Vítek
G
30
Neto Borges
D
Neto Borges
D
29
A. Malanda
D
A. Malanda
D
4
A. Phillips
D
A. Phillips
D
2
C. Brittain
D
C. Brittain
D
6
S. Berhalter
70'
M
S. Berhalter
70'
M
10
A. Morris
M
A. Morris
M
9
T. Conway
1 👟
70'
M
T. Conway
1 👟
70'
M
8
R. McGree
80'
M
R. McGree
80'
M
11
A. Cozier-Duberry
87'
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
87'
M
7
W. Lankshear
1 ⚽
87'
F
W. Lankshear
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
18
C. Barron
M
C. Barron
M
16
J. Sarmiento
10'
F
J. Sarmiento
10'
F
22
K. Joseph
3'
F
K. Joseph
3'
F
12
L. Ayling
20'
D
L. Ayling
20'
D
19
Leo Castledine
M
Leo Castledine
M
17
M. Arfsten
3'
D
M. Arfsten
3'
D
14
M. Peart-Harris
20'
M
M. Peart-Harris
20'
M
31
S. Brynn
G
S. Brynn
G
3
S. Byram
D
S. Byram
D
1
José Sá
G
José Sá
G
3
Hugo Bueno
D
Hugo Bueno
D
24
Toti Gomes
D
Toti Gomes
D
34
N. Djiga
D
N. Djiga
D
2
K. Trippier
D
K. Trippier
D
5
M. Munetsi
61'
M
M. Munetsi
61'
M
20
T. Doyle
61'
M
T. Doyle
61'
M
36
M. Mane
61'
M
M. Mane
61'
M
7
André
82'
M
André
82'
M
21
Rodrigo Gomes
51'
M
Rodrigo Gomes
51'
M
10
A. Armstrong
F
A. Armstrong
F
Bench
28
Fer López
29'
M
Fer López
29'
M
33
G. Konan
D
G. Konan
D
27
J. Bellegarde
29'
M
J. Bellegarde
29'
M
8
J. James
29'
M
J. James
29'
M
13
João Virgínia
G
João Virgínia
G
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
J. Tchatchoua
D
37
L. Krejčí
D
L. Krejčí
D
19
R. Saïd
39'
F
R. Saïd
39'
F
14
S. Neave
8'
F
S. Neave
8'
F
Best on the pitch
W. Lankshear
F · Middlesbrough
8.13
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 11 pass
T. Conway
M · Middlesbrough
7.70
1 👟
· 26 pass
C. Brittain
D · Middlesbrough
7.49
· 37 pass
A. Malanda
D · Middlesbrough
7.32
1 shots
· 92 pass
A. Phillips
D · Middlesbrough
7.27
1 shots
· 59 pass
José Sá
G · Wolves
7.25
· 24 pass
Middlesbrough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Vítek | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Neto Borges | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Malanda | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 1 | 92 | 88% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Brittain | D | 90 | 7.49 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Berhalter | M | 70 | 6.59 | — | — | 4 | 23 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| A. Morris | M | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 67% | 6 | — | — |
| T. Conway | M | 70 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 26 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| R. McGree | M | 80 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 87 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Lankshear | F | 87 | 8.13 | 1 | — | 5 | 11 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | F | 10 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Joseph | F | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ayling | D | 20 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Arfsten | D | 3 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Peart-Harris | M | 20 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
Wolves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Sá | G | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Hugo Bueno | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Toti Gomes | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Djiga | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Trippier | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 52% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Munetsi | M | 61 | 6.48 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Doyle | M | 61 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Mane | M | 61 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| André | M | 82 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gomes | M | 51 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 29 | 7.14 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellegarde | M | 29 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. James | M | 29 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Saïd | F | 39 | 6.10 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Neave | F | 8 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
The final score was Middlesbrough 1–0 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an Wolves win.