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W. Lankshear (ast. S. Berhalter) 61'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Middlesbrough a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Wrexham 29%). The final result was Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham. In 2 previous meetings, Middlesbrough have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
3
13
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
43'
L. O'Brien
56'
S. Smith
W. Lankshear · ast. S. Berhalter
61'
65'
R. Longman / D. Imray
M. Arfsten / G. Edmundson
67'
J. Sarmiento / K. Joseph
67'
W. Lankshear
69'
72'
K. Moore / S. Smith
72'
B. Cadamarteri / O. Rathbone
72'
B. Whiteman / M. James
76'
D. Keillor-Dunn / N. Broadhead
W. Lankshear / F. Cartwright
80'
85'
D. Hyam
90'+1
C. Doyle
M. Whittaker / C. Ibeh
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
39.31%
Middlesbrough ←
30.72%
X
29.97%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Middlesbrough) 39.31% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Middlesbrough
1.43
Wrexham
0.98
Lineups
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 4-1-4-1
31 S. Brynn S. Brynn G 7.30
17 M. Arfsten M. Arfsten 67' D 7.30
30 Neto Borges Neto Borges D 7.00
12 L. Ayling L. Ayling D 7.20
2 C. Brittain C. Brittain D 7.30
29 A. Malanda A. Malanda M 7.00
16 J. Sarmiento J. Sarmiento 67' M 6.30
19 Leo Castledine Leo Castledine M 6.50
6 S. Berhalter S. Berhalter 1 👟 M 7.70
11 M. Whittaker M. Whittaker M 6.90
7 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear 1 ⚽ 80' F 7.50
Bench
44 Cruz Ibeh Cruz Ibeh F
46 Finlay Cartwright Finlay Cartwright 13' M 6.70
25 George Edmundson George Edmundson 26' D 6.30
50 Jack Daley Jack Daley D
33 Jon McLaughlin Jon McLaughlin G
49 Josh Dede Josh Dede D
22 K. Joseph K. Joseph 26' F 6.90
28 Law McCabe Law McCabe M
21 S. Dieng S. Dieng G
Wrexham Wrexham 3-5-2
21 D. Ward D. Ward G 7.50
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 7.50
5 D. Hyam D. Hyam D 7.50
26 Z. Vyner Z. Vyner D 7.60
14 George Thomason George Thomason M 6.70
27 L. O'Brien L. O'Brien M 6.60
37 M. James M. James 72' M 6.70
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 72' M 6.30
30 Daniel Edward Peter Imray Daniel Edward Peter Imray 65' M 6.30
33 N. Broadhead N. Broadhead 76' F 7.20
28 S. Smith S. Smith 72' F 6.30
Bench
1 A. Okonkwo A. Okonkwo G
11 B. Cadamarteri B. Cadamarteri 21' F 6.30
8 B. Whiteman B. Whiteman 21' M 6.30
24 Dan Scarr Dan Scarr D
7 D. Keillor-Dunn D. Keillor-Dunn 17' F 6.50
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson M
19 K. Moore K. Moore 21' F 6.50
4 M. Cleworth M. Cleworth D
47 R. Longman R. Longman 28' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
S. Berhalter
S. Berhalter
M · Middlesbrough
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 53 pass
Z. Vyner
Z. Vyner
D · Wrexham
7.60
· 60 pass
D. Hyam
D. Hyam
D · Wrexham
7.50
· 66 pass
C. Doyle
C. Doyle
D · Wrexham
7.50
1 shots · 71 pass
D. Ward
D. Ward
G · Wrexham
7.50
· 33 pass
W. Lankshear
W. Lankshear
F · Middlesbrough
7.50
1 ⚽
5 shots · 14 pass
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Brynn G 93 7.30 16 11%
M. Arfsten D 67 7.30 40 34% 5
Neto Borges D 93 7.00 63 57% 1
L. Ayling D 93 7.20 76 63% 1
C. Brittain D 93 7.30 59 48%
A. Malanda M 93 7.00 1 60 52%
J. Sarmiento M 67 6.30 1 17 13% 1
Leo Castledine M 93 6.50 22 20% 2
S. Berhalter M 93 7.70 1 1 53 43% 2
M. Whittaker M 93 6.90 2 40 37%
W. Lankshear F 80 7.50 1 5 14 14% 1
Finlay Cartwright M 13 6.70 1 1
George Edmundson D 26 6.30 1 2 2%
K. Joseph F 26 6.90 6 4%
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Ward G 93 7.50 33 18%
C. Doyle D 93 7.50 1 71 61% 1 1
D. Hyam D 93 7.50 66 63% 2 1
Z. Vyner D 93 7.60 60 56% 2
George Thomason M 93 6.70 1 44 36%
L. O'Brien M 93 6.60 57 50% 4 1
M. James M 72 6.70 36 33% 2
O. Rathbone M 72 6.30 2 20 18% 1
Daniel Edward Peter Imray M 65 6.30 1 19 17% 1
N. Broadhead F 76 7.20 2 28 25% 2
S. Smith F 72 6.30 2 13 5% 1
B. Cadamarteri F 21 6.30 7 2%
B. Whiteman M 21 6.30 26 25%
D. Keillor-Dunn F 17 6.50 4 4%
K. Moore F 21 6.50 8 7% 1
R. Longman M 28 6.50 13 12%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
The final score was Middlesbrough 1–0 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Middlesbrough vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Middlesbrough win, 30% to a draw, and 29% to an Wrexham win.