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Midland - Deportivo Maipu

Primera Nacional August 08, 2026 01:00
Midland
#5 · 34 pts
vs
Deportivo Maipu
#7 · 32 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.77%
Win
Midland
27.56%
Draw
26.67%
Win
Deportivo Maipu
1.26
Expected xG
0.92

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.91%)
1X2 Result
1 46%
X 28%
2 27%
Double Chance
1X 73%
X2 54%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 61%
Over 2.5 33%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Midland a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Maipu. Expected goals are 1.3 for Midland and 0.9 for Deportivo Maipu (total 2.2), with a 60% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.91% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Midland have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Maipu.

Season Stats

Midland
6W 4D 5L
Deportivo Maipu
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.4
0.9
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
47%
27%
O 2.5
33%
47%
BTTS
33%
27%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Midland
6W 2D 2L · at home
Deportivo Maipu
2W 3D 5L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.4
0.5
Conceded
1.3
60%
Win %
20%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
70%
20%
O 2.5
60%
0%
O 3.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
20%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Midland Deportivo Maipu →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3% 10.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.1% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 3.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Midland Midland
D Almagro 1–1
W Patronato 1–0
W Quilmes 1–0
D Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1
D Patronato 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
W Atlanta 4–2
L Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0
D San Martin Tucuman 0–0
W Atletico DE Rafaela 1–3
W Agropecuario 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Midland Midland
Attack
25
Defence
82
Form
57
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
Attack
31
Defence
81
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Midland
0
Draw
0
Deportivo Maipu
22 Mar 2026 Primera Nacional 1–0

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 23 41
2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 22 39
3 Temperley Temperley 23 37
4 Atlanta Atlanta 22 36
5 Midland Midland 22 34
6 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 23 34
7 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 23 32
8 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 23 31
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 23 30
10 Colegiales Colegiales 22 29
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 22 29
12 Almagro Almagro 23 29
13 Quilmes Quilmes 23 28
14 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 21 27
15 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 22 26
16 Patronato Patronato 22 23
17 Agropecuario Agropecuario 23 23
18 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 22 19

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Midland Deportivo Maipu
Current #5 #7
→ Midland #3 #7
→ Draw #5 #7
→ Deportivo Maipu #6 #5

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Midland vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model gives Midland a 45% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 26% for an Deportivo Maipu win.
How many goals are expected in Midland vs Deportivo Maipu?
Expected goals: Midland 1.3, Deportivo Maipu 0.9 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 60%.
What is the most likely score in Midland vs Deportivo Maipu?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.91%.