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Midland - Gimnasia Jujuy

Primera Nacional July 05, 2026 21:00
Midland
#6 · 26 pts
vs
Gimnasia Jujuy
#1 · 36 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.82%
Win
Midland
21.4%
Draw
28.78%
Win
Gimnasia Jujuy
1.89
Expected xG
1.4
Most likely result 1–1 (9.9%)
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
64%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Midland a 49% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Gimnasia Jujuy. Expected goals are 1.9 for Midland and 1.4 for Gimnasia Jujuy (total 3.3), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Midland have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia Jujuy.

Season Stats

Midland
6W 4D 5L
Gimnasia Jujuy
9W 3D 3L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.7
0.8
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
87%
27%
O 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
78%
O 1.5
45%
O 2.5
11%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Midland
5W 2D 2L · at home
Gimnasia Jujuy
3W 2D 4L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.0
0.6
Conceded
1.7
56%
Win %
33%
78%
Win or Draw
56%
67%
O 1.5
89%
22%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
22%
33%
BTTS
56%
56%
Clean Sht
11%
22%
Failed to Score
44%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Midland Gimnasia Jujuy →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 5.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
1 7.0% 9.9% 6.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.2% 5.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.0% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Midland Midland
D Patronato 1–1
L Atlanta 1–2
L Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0
W San Martin Tucuman 2–0
L Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
W Club Atlético Güemes 1–3
W Nueva Chicago 4–0
W San Martin S.J. 2–1
L Atlanta 3–0
D Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Midland Midland
Attack
33
Defence
78
Form
59
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack
40
Defence
72
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Midland
0
Draw
1
Gimnasia Jujuy
16 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 1–2

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 18 36
2 Atlanta Atlanta 18 33
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 18 30
4 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 27
5 Temperley Temperley 18 27
6 Midland Midland 18 26
7 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 17 23
8 Colegiales Colegiales 18 23
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 23
10 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 18 22
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 22
12 Almagro Almagro 18 22
13 Quilmes Quilmes 18 21
14 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 21
15 Patronato Patronato 18 21
16 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 18 19
17 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 19
18 Agropecuario Agropecuario 18 18

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Midland Gimnasia Jujuy
Current #6 #1
→ Midland #4 #1
→ Draw #4 #1
→ Gimnasia Jujuy #6 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Midland vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
The model gives Midland a 49% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 28% for an Gimnasia Jujuy win.
How many goals are expected in Midland vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
Expected goals: Midland 1.9, Gimnasia Jujuy 1.4 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Midland vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.9%.